CLE @ MIL
NBA
Fiserv Forum
·Final
112–100
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLE | 34 | 28 | 22 | 28 | 112 |
| MIL | 32 | 20 | 25 | 23 | 100 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (MIL) / 10 (CLE) games this season
CLE
away
home
MIL
64%
36%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Strus S | 22 | 17 | 9 | 2 |
| Donovan Mitchell S | 30 | 15 | 5 | 6 |
| Darius Garland S | 29 | 13 | 5 | 5 |
| Evan Mobley S | 28 | 13 | 7 | 2 |
| Jarrett Allen S | 30 | 11 | 6 | 3 |
| Ty Jerome | 18 | 9 | 1 | 1 |
| Sam Merrill | 20 | 9 | 2 | 1 |
| Dean Wade | 15 | 9 | 3 | 1 |
| De'Andre Hunter | 19 | 6 | 3 | 2 |
| Isaac Okoro | 16 | 5 | 1 | 1 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Max Strus ·
3PT (3 pts) · 11:35 Q1
"Max Strus makes 23-foot three point jumper (Evan Mobley assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Evan Mobley
CLE
12%
2
Giannis Antetokounmpo
MIL
12%
3
Donovan Mitchell
CLE
10%
4
Kyle Kuzma
MIL
10%
5
Brook Lopez
MIL
9%
6
Darius Garland
CLE
9%
7
Jarrett Allen
CLE
9%
8
Max Strus
CLE
8%
9
Damian Lillard
MIL
8%
10
Ryan Rollins
MIL
6%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
11%
Dunk
8%
Free Throw
15%
Jumper
38%
Layup
28%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Giannis Antetokounmpo | MIL | 28.4 | 11.5 | 6.0 |
| 2 | Donovan Mitchell | CLE | 22.3 | 4.2 | 4.3 |
| 3 | Damian Lillard | MIL | 20.8 | 3.9 | 4.9 |
| 4 | Evan Mobley | CLE | 19.1 | 10.3 | 3.6 |
| 5 | Darius Garland | CLE | 15.9 | 2.6 | 5.9 |
| 6 | Kyle Kuzma | MIL | 15.5 | 7.2 | 2.6 |
| 7 | Ty Jerome | CLE | 15.1 | 3.6 | 3.2 |
| 8 | De'Andre Hunter | CLE | 14.1 | 4.6 | 1.6 |
| 9 | Brook Lopez | MIL | 13.6 | 6.2 | 1.9 |
| 10 | Jarrett Allen | CLE | 12.3 | 10.1 | 1.7 |
| 11 | Gary Trent Jr. | MIL | 12.3 | 3.1 | 1.7 |
| 12 | Taurean Prince | MIL | 9.8 | 3.9 | 2.0 |
| 13 | Kevin Porter Jr. | MIL | 9.6 | 3.1 | 3.6 |
| 14 | Max Strus | CLE | 9.4 | 3.5 | 2.9 |
| 15 | AJ Green | MIL | 8.6 | 2.4 | 1.8 |
| 16 | Sam Merrill | CLE | 6.2 | 2.3 | 1.0 |
| 17 | Isaac Okoro | CLE | 5.7 | 2.8 | 0.9 |
| 18 | Dean Wade | CLE | 4.7 | 3.4 | 1.4 |
| 19 | Javonte Green | CLE | 4.7 | 3.1 | 0.9 |
| 20 | Ryan Rollins | MIL | 4.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| 21 | Jaylon Tyson | CLE | 4.2 | 1.8 | 0.9 |
| 22 | Andre Jackson Jr. | MIL | 4.0 | 1.8 | 0.9 |
| 23 | Craig Porter Jr. | CLE | 3.8 | 1.6 | 1.7 |
| 24 | Jericho Sims | MIL | 3.8 | 3.7 | 0.7 |
| 25 | Tyler Smith | MIL | 2.8 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 26 | Chris Livingston | MIL | 2.0 | 1.7 | 0.5 |
| 27 | Tristan Thompson | CLE | 1.6 | 2.3 | 0.5 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.