NBA games

UTAH @ TOR

NBA Scotiabank Arena ·Final
109–118
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
UTAH27193231109
TOR28293526118

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (TOR) / 10 (UTAH) games this season
UTAH away
home TOR
42% 58%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Walker Kessler S 33 18 25 0
Keyonte George 31 18 6 8
Collin Sexton S 24 17 2 3
Kyle Filipowski 27 17 5 3
Brice Sensabaugh S 23 11 4 0
Cody Williams 22 10 2 0
Isaiah Collier S 30 6 3 6
Johnny Juzang 14 5 2 0
KJ Martin S 22 5 3 1
Micah Potter 13 2 4 0
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Immanuel Quickley S 29 34 5 5
Scottie Barnes S 32 22 12 6
Jared Rhoden 28 14 5 1
Ja'Kobe Walter S 18 14 5 2
Jamison Battle 23 11 1 0
Jamal Shead 26 8 2 5
Orlando Robinson S 25 7 7 2
A.J. Lawson S 27 6 3 1
Colin Castleton 23 2 7 5
Garrett Temple 9 0 1 0

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Ja'Kobe Walter · 3PT (3 pts) · 11:41 Q1
"Ja'Kobe Walter makes 23-foot three point shot (Immanuel Quickley assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Scottie Barnes TOR
10%
2 Collin Sexton UTAH
10%
3 RJ Barrett TOR
10%
4 Walker Kessler UTAH
10%
5 Jakob Poeltl TOR
9%
6 Immanuel Quickley TOR
9%
7 Kyle Filipowski UTAH
7%
8 Isaiah Collier UTAH
7%
9 Ja'Kobe Walter TOR
7%
10 Brice Sensabaugh UTAH
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
10%
Dunk
6%
Free Throw
21%
Jumper
27%
Layup
36%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 RJ Barrett TOR 24.4 5.9 6.6
2 Scottie Barnes TOR 21.9 8.1 5.8
3 Immanuel Quickley TOR 21.8 4.4 5.5
4 Collin Sexton UTAH 19.3 3.4 4.8
5 Keyonte George UTAH 16.6 4.0 5.7
6 Kyle Filipowski UTAH 14.8 7.1 2.5
7 Jakob Poeltl TOR 13.6 8.5 3.6
8 Isaiah Collier UTAH 13.0 3.9 7.1
9 Walker Kessler UTAH 12.5 12.5 2.1
10 Brice Sensabaugh UTAH 10.0 2.6 1.8
11 Svi Mykhailiuk UTAH 8.7 2.7 1.9
12 KJ Martin UTAH 8.1 3.8 1.4
13 Ja'Kobe Walter TOR 8.0 3.8 1.4
14 Johnny Juzang UTAH 7.8 2.9 1.0
15 Jamal Shead TOR 7.8 1.9 4.1
16 Orlando Robinson TOR 6.9 5.1 1.9
17 Cody Williams UTAH 6.3 2.4 1.4
18 Micah Potter UTAH 5.1 3.6 0.9
19 A.J. Lawson TOR 3.8 1.5 0.8
20 Jamison Battle TOR 3.3 1.1 0.6
21 Colin Castleton TOR 3.2 2.0 0.7
22 Jaden Springer UTAH 2.9 1.5 0.9
23 Jared Rhoden TOR 2.8 1.7 0.7
24 Garrett Temple TOR 2.7 1.4 0.9

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.