NBA games

UTAH @ WSH

NBA Capital One Arena ·Final
122–125
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
UTAH32233631122
WSH32303429125

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (WSH) / 10 (UTAH) games this season
UTAH away
home WSH
45% 55%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Johnny Juzang S 30 27 7 2
Kyle Filipowski S 29 23 13 0
Isaiah Collier S 31 19 6 6
Brice Sensabaugh S 30 15 4 3
Cody Williams 33 12 3 2
Svi Mykhailiuk 19 11 1 6
Oscar Tshiebwe 19 6 13 0
KJ Martin S 28 5 5 1
Micah Potter 21 4 6 1
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Kyshawn George S 35 23 7 2
Alex Sarr S 29 21 5 4
Justin Champagnie 22 17 3 2
Khris Middleton S 26 14 6 6
Marcus Smart 18 13 4 5
Bub Carrington S 34 12 5 9
Bilal Coulibaly S 34 11 5 0
Tristan Vukcevic 18 8 7 1
Corey Kispert 23 6 3 3

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
KJ Martin · Jumper (2 pts) · 11:36 Q1
"KJ Martin makes 3-foot two point shot (Johnny Juzang assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Collin Sexton UTAH
16%
2 Bilal Coulibaly WSH
12%
3 Kyshawn George WSH
11%
4 KJ Martin UTAH
11%
5 Isaiah Collier UTAH
11%
6 Bub Carrington WSH
11%
7 Khris Middleton WSH
10%
8 Alex Sarr WSH
10%
9 Johnny Juzang UTAH
9%
10 Kyle Filipowski UTAH
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
27%
Dunk
6%
Free Throw
12%
Jumper
26%
Layup
29%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Collin Sexton UTAH 20.0 3.5 5.2
2 Keyonte George UTAH 17.5 4.0 6.2
3 Bilal Coulibaly WSH 14.0 4.6 4.0
4 Bub Carrington WSH 13.8 4.6 4.9
5 Kyle Filipowski UTAH 13.4 6.0 2.7
6 Corey Kispert WSH 13.4 3.5 2.4
7 Isaiah Collier UTAH 13.3 3.9 8.4
8 Kyshawn George WSH 13.1 5.9 4.1
9 Khris Middleton WSH 13.0 3.9 3.6
10 Richaun Holmes WSH 12.5 8.2 2.1
11 Alex Sarr WSH 11.4 6.1 2.1
12 Svi Mykhailiuk UTAH 10.3 3.1 1.7
13 Brice Sensabaugh UTAH 9.6 2.6 1.7
14 Marcus Smart WSH 8.6 2.1 2.2
15 KJ Martin UTAH 8.2 3.9 1.4
16 Tristan Vukcevic WSH 8.1 3.7 1.4
17 Johnny Juzang UTAH 8.0 2.7 1.1
18 Justin Champagnie WSH 7.4 4.9 1.1
19 Micah Potter UTAH 6.2 4.0 1.1
20 Cody Williams UTAH 6.1 2.4 1.5
21 Oscar Tshiebwe UTAH 4.8 5.6 0.6
22 AJ Johnson WSH 4.2 1.5 1.2
23 Jaden Springer UTAH 3.8 1.9 1.1
24 Anthony Gill WSH 2.9 1.3 0.7

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.