NO @ UTAH
NBA
Delta Center
·Final
128–121
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 30 | 36 | 25 | 37 | 128 |
| UTAH | 26 | 31 | 34 | 30 | 121 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (UTAH) / 10 (NO) games this season
NO
away
home
UTAH
69%
31%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Olynyk S | 26 | 26 | 9 | 4 |
| CJ McCollum S | 33 | 25 | 3 | 8 |
| Zion Williamson S | 29 | 24 | 6 | 9 |
| Trey Murphy III S | 36 | 20 | 6 | 6 |
| Jordan Hawkins | 22 | 8 | 4 | 3 |
| Bruce Brown | 22 | 8 | 8 | 2 |
| Yves Missi S | 28 | 8 | 7 | 0 |
| Karlo Matkovic | 20 | 6 | 5 | 1 |
| Jose Alvarado | 24 | 3 | 0 | 2 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Trey Murphy III ·
3PT (3 pts) · 11:29 Q1
"Trey Murphy III makes 27-foot three point jumper (Kelly Olynyk assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
CJ McCollum
NO
16%
2
Trey Murphy III
NO
15%
3
Zion Williamson
NO
12%
4
Yves Missi
NO
11%
5
Bruce Brown
NO
8%
6
Isaiah Collier
UTAH
8%
7
Jordan Hawkins
NO
8%
8
Johnny Juzang
UTAH
8%
9
Kelly Olynyk
NO
7%
10
Taylor Hendricks
UTAH
6%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
26%
Dunk
7%
Free Throw
12%
Jumper
35%
Layup
20%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zion Williamson | NO | 26.8 | 7.4 | 6.2 |
| 2 | CJ McCollum | NO | 22.9 | 4.5 | 4.3 |
| 3 | Trey Murphy III | NO | 21.3 | 5.3 | 6.6 |
| 4 | Keyonte George | UTAH | 19.0 | 4.1 | 6.9 |
| 5 | Isaiah Collier | UTAH | 13.5 | 4.4 | 9.8 |
| 6 | Kyle Filipowski | UTAH | 12.5 | 6.1 | 2.7 |
| 7 | Svi Mykhailiuk | UTAH | 11.4 | 3.3 | 1.7 |
| 8 | Jose Alvarado | NO | 11.1 | 3.7 | 5.7 |
| 9 | Jordan Hawkins | NO | 11.1 | 3.3 | 2.0 |
| 10 | Yves Missi | NO | 10.7 | 9.2 | 1.3 |
| 11 | Kelly Olynyk | NO | 10.6 | 6.4 | 3.3 |
| 12 | Karlo Matkovic | NO | 10.4 | 5.7 | 1.4 |
| 13 | KJ Martin | UTAH | 9.5 | 4.2 | 1.5 |
| 14 | Brice Sensabaugh | UTAH | 8.5 | 2.5 | 1.4 |
| 15 | Taylor Hendricks | UTAH | 8.1 | 4.6 | 1.4 |
| 16 | Johnny Juzang | UTAH | 7.9 | 2.4 | 1.1 |
| 17 | Cody Williams | UTAH | 6.5 | 2.9 | 1.7 |
| 18 | Bruce Brown | NO | 6.4 | 2.9 | 1.7 |
| 19 | Micah Potter | UTAH | 5.6 | 3.4 | 0.8 |
| 20 | Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | NO | 5.3 | 2.9 | 0.9 |
| 21 | Jaden Springer | UTAH | 4.9 | 1.9 | 1.1 |
| 22 | Antonio Reeves | NO | 4.6 | 1.8 | 1.1 |
| 23 | Jamal Cain | NO | 3.1 | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| 24 | Oscar Tshiebwe | UTAH | 2.8 | 4.9 | 0.5 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.