NBA games

POR @ BKN

NBA Barclays Center ·Final
121–102
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
POR33312730121
BKN25223520102

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (BKN) / 10 (POR) games this season
POR away
home BKN
59% 41%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Shaedon Sharpe S 36 25 4 5
Dalano Banton 25 23 8 0
Toumani Camara S 36 19 3 4
Anfernee Simons S 31 14 3 6
Donovan Clingan S 28 12 7 3
Scoot Henderson 27 12 3 9
Kris Murray S 30 11 2 1
Jabari Walker 17 5 6 3
Rayan Rupert 4 0 0 0
Duop Reath 3 0 0 0
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Cam Thomas S 21 16 2 1
Nic Claxton S 23 16 5 3
Killian Hayes S 30 16 4 4
Cameron Johnson S 24 14 4 4
Keon Johnson 30 10 6 0
Jalen Wilson 23 9 5 1
Day'Ron Sharpe 19 6 7 1
Trendon Watford 16 5 3 2
Ziaire Williams S 10 5 0 1
Tyrese Martin 25 5 4 2

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Cam Thomas · Jumper (2 pts) · 11:09 Q1
"Cam Thomas makes 8-foot driving floating jump shot (Nic Claxton assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Cameron Johnson BKN
12%
2 Deni Avdija POR
11%
3 Nic Claxton BKN
10%
4 Anfernee Simons POR
9%
5 Day'Ron Sharpe BKN
9%
6 Keon Johnson BKN
9%
7 Jerami Grant POR
9%
8 Donovan Clingan POR
8%
9 Ziaire Williams BKN
8%
10 Toumani Camara POR
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
31%
Dunk
5%
Free Throw
18%
Jumper
24%
Layup
22%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Cam Thomas BKN 24.2 4.1 4.2
2 Anfernee Simons POR 21.1 3.0 5.9
3 Cameron Johnson BKN 18.5 4.2 3.2
4 Shaedon Sharpe POR 17.1 3.7 3.0
5 Deni Avdija POR 15.8 5.2 3.6
6 Keon Johnson BKN 13.7 4.9 2.9
7 Scoot Henderson POR 13.0 2.9 5.1
8 Jerami Grant POR 12.9 3.7 2.4
9 Toumani Camara POR 12.4 6.7 2.3
10 Nic Claxton BKN 12.2 7.5 1.8
11 Ziaire Williams BKN 11.7 5.9 1.6
12 Day'Ron Sharpe BKN 11.4 7.4 2.5
13 Killian Hayes BKN 10.8 3.0 5.3
14 Trendon Watford BKN 10.7 3.8 3.1
15 Jalen Wilson BKN 8.2 3.4 1.8
16 Donovan Clingan POR 6.6 7.6 0.9
17 Tyrese Martin BKN 6.6 2.8 1.3
18 Jabari Walker POR 5.9 3.6 1.0
19 Dalano Banton POR 5.5 1.4 1.8
20 Robert Williams III POR 4.0 6.0 0.7
21 Kris Murray POR 3.5 2.1 0.6
22 Reece Beekman BKN 3.1 1.4 1.5
23 Duop Reath POR 2.0 0.8 0.3
24 Maxwell Lewis BKN 1.5 0.8 0.3
25 Rayan Rupert POR 1.4 0.7 0.4
26 Sidy Cissoko POR 1.2 0.5 0.2

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.