SA @ NO
NBA
Smoothie King Center
·Final
103–109
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SA | 30 | 21 | 32 | 20 | 103 |
| NO | 16 | 33 | 30 | 30 | 109 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (NO) / 10 (SA) games this season
SA
away
home
NO
40%
60%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Vassell S | 33 | 20 | 5 | 3 |
| De'Aaron Fox S | 38 | 15 | 3 | 9 |
| Harrison Barnes S | 31 | 15 | 5 | 2 |
| Chris Paul S | 33 | 12 | 0 | 10 |
| Jeremy Sochan | 19 | 12 | 9 | 2 |
| Keldon Johnson | 24 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| Bismack Biyombo S | 23 | 10 | 12 | 1 |
| Stephon Castle | 12 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Julian Champagnie | 15 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Chris Paul ·
3PT (3 pts) · 11:04 Q1
"Chris Paul makes 22-foot three point jumper (Harrison Barnes assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
De'Aaron Fox
SA
14%
2
CJ McCollum
NO
13%
3
Zion Williamson
NO
12%
4
Trey Murphy III
NO
10%
5
Bismack Biyombo
SA
8%
6
Yves Missi
NO
8%
7
Herbert Jones
NO
7%
8
Devin Vassell
SA
7%
9
Kelly Olynyk
NO
7%
10
Chris Paul
SA
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
20%
Dunk
7%
Free Throw
12%
Jumper
29%
Layup
33%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zion Williamson | NO | 27.8 | 7.8 | 4.9 |
| 2 | Trey Murphy III | NO | 24.9 | 5.8 | 6.3 |
| 3 | CJ McCollum | NO | 23.7 | 5.0 | 4.6 |
| 4 | De'Aaron Fox | SA | 23.3 | 5.1 | 7.1 |
| 5 | Stephon Castle | SA | 15.7 | 4.2 | 3.1 |
| 6 | Devin Vassell | SA | 13.4 | 3.3 | 2.4 |
| 7 | Jose Alvarado | NO | 12.2 | 3.7 | 5.3 |
| 8 | Harrison Barnes | SA | 11.0 | 4.6 | 1.7 |
| 9 | Keldon Johnson | SA | 11.0 | 3.0 | 2.1 |
| 10 | Herbert Jones | NO | 10.6 | 4.1 | 4.3 |
| 11 | Jeremy Sochan | SA | 9.9 | 5.6 | 2.7 |
| 12 | Kelly Olynyk | NO | 9.6 | 4.8 | 3.0 |
| 13 | Chris Paul | SA | 9.2 | 3.0 | 7.0 |
| 14 | Jordan Hawkins | NO | 9.1 | 2.9 | 1.6 |
| 15 | Karlo Matkovic | NO | 8.5 | 5.7 | 1.5 |
| 16 | Yves Missi | NO | 8.3 | 8.9 | 1.4 |
| 17 | Bismack Biyombo | SA | 7.4 | 5.7 | 1.3 |
| 18 | Julian Champagnie | SA | 6.7 | 2.5 | 1.6 |
| 19 | Bruce Brown | NO | 6.6 | 3.3 | 1.4 |
| 20 | Sandro Mamukelashvili | SA | 5.3 | 2.5 | 1.1 |
| 21 | Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | NO | 5.1 | 3.4 | 1.0 |
| 22 | Antonio Reeves | NO | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1.1 |
| 23 | Jordan McLaughlin | SA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 24 | Malaki Branham | SA | 3.0 | 1.1 | 0.8 |
| 25 | Blake Wesley | SA | 2.8 | 1.2 | 1.5 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.