NBA games

BKN @ WSH

NBA Capital One Arena ·Final
99–107
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
BKN2039281299
WSH30371822107

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (WSH) / 10 (BKN) games this season
BKN away
home WSH
33% 67%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Ziaire Williams S 34 19 5 0
Cameron Johnson S 32 17 4 1
Tyrese Martin 23 15 5 1
Trendon Watford 23 11 7 3
Keon Johnson S 26 9 2 5
Nic Claxton S 31 8 5 2
Killian Hayes S 25 7 3 8
Day'Ron Sharpe 17 7 6 2
Jalen Wilson 22 6 2 2
Reece Beekman 7 0 0 1
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Jordan Poole S 29 26 4 2
Bilal Coulibaly S 30 20 5 2
Kyshawn George S 32 12 3 5
Richaun Holmes S 30 11 6 4
Marcus Smart 22 10 1 2
Khris Middleton S 26 7 3 5
Tristan Vukcevic 10 6 4 0
Justin Champagnie 13 6 7 1
Bub Carrington 25 5 1 2
Corey Kispert 22 4 3 3

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Jordan Poole · 3PT (3 pts) · 11:42 Q1
"Jordan Poole makes 23-foot three point jumper (Kyshawn George assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Jordan Poole WSH
19%
2 Keon Johnson BKN
11%
3 Nic Claxton BKN
10%
4 Cameron Johnson BKN
10%
5 Bilal Coulibaly WSH
9%
6 Richaun Holmes WSH
9%
7 Kyshawn George WSH
8%
8 Khris Middleton WSH
8%
9 Justin Champagnie WSH
8%
10 Ziaire Williams BKN
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
25%
Dunk
6%
Free Throw
12%
Jumper
20%
Layup
37%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Cam Thomas BKN 24.0 4.1 4.3
2 Jordan Poole WSH 22.6 4.2 5.0
3 Cameron Johnson BKN 18.9 4.3 2.9
4 Keon Johnson BKN 14.1 5.1 2.8
5 Corey Kispert WSH 14.0 3.6 2.1
6 Bilal Coulibaly WSH 13.5 4.9 4.5
7 Khris Middleton WSH 12.7 3.4 3.5
8 Nic Claxton BKN 12.6 8.0 2.1
9 Bub Carrington WSH 11.4 3.3 4.3
10 Kyshawn George WSH 10.5 5.1 2.2
11 Ziaire Williams BKN 10.4 5.2 1.7
12 Jalen Wilson BKN 10.0 3.5 2.0
13 Trendon Watford BKN 9.8 3.0 2.5
14 Day'Ron Sharpe BKN 9.2 6.8 1.9
15 Richaun Holmes WSH 9.0 7.1 1.6
16 Marcus Smart WSH 8.0 2.0 3.2
17 Tristan Vukcevic WSH 7.8 3.4 1.4
18 Justin Champagnie WSH 6.8 3.8 1.0
19 Tyrese Martin BKN 6.6 3.4 1.4
20 Reece Beekman BKN 3.5 1.5 1.7
21 Jalen McDaniels WSH 2.9 1.8 0.6
22 Maxwell Lewis BKN 2.3 1.1 0.5
23 Anthony Gill WSH 2.3 1.1 0.5
24 Jaylen Martin WSH 1.9 0.9 0.3

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.