NBA games

BKN @ PHI

NBA Xfinity Mobile Arena ·Final
105–103
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
BKN40232022105
PHI30222427103

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (PHI) / 10 (BKN) games this season
BKN away
home PHI
48% 52%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Cameron Johnson S 35 23 4 4
Nic Claxton S 36 16 9 3
Trendon Watford 24 16 1 6
Ziaire Williams S 30 11 7 2
Keon Johnson S 31 11 4 4
Day'Ron Sharpe 13 10 7 1
Jalen Wilson 22 8 2 1
Tyrese Martin 13 5 1 0
Killian Hayes S 27 3 4 6
Reece Beekman 10 2 0 0
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Tyrese Maxey S 43 31 2 5
Quentin Grimes S 37 16 7 5
Paul George S 40 15 7 2
Kelly Oubre Jr. S 38 14 5 1
Joel Embiid S 31 14 7 5
Andre Drummond 5 6 3 0
Guerschon Yabusele 23 5 8 1
David Roddy 5 2 1 0
Lonnie Walker IV 10 0 2 0
Ricky Council IV 9 0 1 2

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Tyrese Maxey · Layup (2 pts) · 11:42 Q1
"Tyrese Maxey makes 1-foot two point shot (Joel Embiid assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Tyrese Maxey PHI
21%
2 Kelly Oubre Jr. PHI
10%
3 Keon Johnson BKN
10%
4 Paul George PHI
9%
5 Quentin Grimes PHI
9%
6 Nic Claxton BKN
9%
7 Joel Embiid PHI
9%
8 Cameron Johnson BKN
8%
9 Ziaire Williams BKN
7%
10 Lonnie Walker IV PHI
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
9%
Dunk
1%
Free Throw
54%
Jumper
6%
Layup
29%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Tyrese Maxey PHI 29.1 4.0 6.6
2 Joel Embiid PHI 28.2 9.8 5.2
3 Cam Thomas BKN 24.0 4.2 4.4
4 Cameron Johnson BKN 19.1 4.0 2.9
5 Keon Johnson BKN 15.9 5.0 3.0
6 Paul George PHI 15.6 3.8 3.7
7 Kelly Oubre Jr. PHI 15.5 7.0 2.2
8 Quentin Grimes PHI 13.5 4.6 2.8
9 Guerschon Yabusele PHI 13.1 5.8 2.0
10 Nic Claxton BKN 12.6 7.9 2.0
11 Jalen Wilson BKN 10.9 4.0 2.6
12 Ziaire Williams BKN 9.9 4.8 1.7
13 Trendon Watford BKN 9.2 3.2 2.0
14 Day'Ron Sharpe BKN 9.1 6.6 1.9
15 Tyrese Martin BKN 7.2 3.7 1.6
16 Lonnie Walker IV PHI 7.0 1.9 2.1
17 Jared Butler PHI 6.8 2.4 2.4
18 Ricky Council IV PHI 5.5 1.6 1.3
19 Andre Drummond PHI 5.1 5.1 1.0
20 Adem Bona PHI 4.0 3.6 0.6
21 David Roddy PHI 3.9 3.1 1.0
22 Maxwell Lewis BKN 2.7 1.4 0.6
23 Reece Beekman BKN 2.5 0.9 1.5

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.