NBA games

NY @ CLE

NBA Rocket Arena ·Final
105–142
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
NY29212926105
CLE41363332142

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (CLE) / 10 (NY) games this season
NY away
home CLE
46% 54%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Jalen Brunson S 28 26 4 4
Karl-Anthony Towns S 29 23 7 4
Mikal Bridges S 29 14 1 5
Pacome Dadiet 12 7 1 0
Precious Achiuwa S 28 7 10 1
Cameron Payne 16 5 0 4
Miles McBride 21 5 3 0
OG Anunoby S 27 5 0 0
Ariel Hukporti 19 4 2 3
Delon Wright 9 4 1 2
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Donovan Mitchell S 26 27 3 5
Evan Mobley S 25 21 8 4
Ty Jerome 19 19 3 2
De'Andre Hunter 19 16 0 1
Craig Porter Jr. 12 13 6 3
Jarrett Allen S 20 10 3 0
Darius Garland S 25 9 4 5
Isaac Okoro 18 6 5 1
Sam Merrill 17 5 4 4
Max Strus S 21 5 2 8

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Jalen Brunson · Jumper (2 pts) · 11:37 Q1
"Jalen Brunson makes 11-foot pullup jump shot"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Karl-Anthony Towns NY
13%
2 Evan Mobley CLE
12%
3 Jalen Brunson NY
9%
4 OG Anunoby NY
9%
5 Mikal Bridges NY
8%
6 Darius Garland CLE
8%
7 Jarrett Allen CLE
8%
8 Precious Achiuwa NY
7%
9 Donovan Mitchell CLE
7%
10 Max Strus CLE
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
24%
Dunk
8%
Free Throw
13%
Jumper
31%
Layup
24%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Jalen Brunson NY 24.5 3.2 7.6
2 Donovan Mitchell CLE 22.9 4.1 5.5
3 Darius Garland CLE 21.9 3.0 6.6
4 Karl-Anthony Towns NY 20.6 9.9 2.8
5 Evan Mobley CLE 20.6 9.8 3.4
6 De'Andre Hunter CLE 17.9 4.2 2.0
7 Mikal Bridges NY 16.7 4.3 3.9
8 OG Anunoby NY 15.5 3.8 2.4
9 Jarrett Allen CLE 14.0 11.2 2.8
10 Ty Jerome CLE 13.3 3.4 4.2
11 Precious Achiuwa NY 11.6 7.4 1.4
12 Max Strus CLE 11.0 4.6 3.1
13 Sam Merrill CLE 9.4 2.7 1.4
14 Miles McBride NY 9.3 2.6 1.8
15 Cameron Payne NY 6.7 1.7 2.9
16 Jaylon Tyson CLE 6.0 2.9 1.4
17 Isaac Okoro CLE 5.9 2.0 1.4
18 Dean Wade CLE 5.8 3.7 1.6
19 Craig Porter Jr. CLE 5.1 1.9 1.6
20 Landry Shamet NY 4.4 1.3 0.9
21 Delon Wright NY 3.2 1.8 1.6
22 Pacome Dadiet NY 2.7 1.3 0.6
23 Tristan Thompson CLE 2.6 2.6 0.9
24 Ariel Hukporti NY 2.5 2.4 0.5
25 Matt Ryan NY 1.2 0.6 0.2
26 Tyler Kolek NY 1.2 0.4 0.7

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.