GS @ DAL
NBA
American Airlines Center
·Final
107–111
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GS | 31 | 25 | 22 | 29 | 107 |
| DAL | 32 | 25 | 26 | 28 | 111 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (DAL) / 10 (GS) games this season
GS
away
home
DAL
66%
34%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry S | 37 | 25 | 5 | 8 |
| Jimmy Butler III S | 35 | 21 | 9 | 7 |
| Moses Moody | 27 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| Gary Payton II | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| Draymond Green S | 32 | 13 | 5 | 5 |
| Brandin Podziemski | 24 | 8 | 2 | 5 |
| Quinten Post S | 12 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| Kevon Looney | 15 | 4 | 8 | 2 |
| Buddy Hield S | 29 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| Gui Santos | 12 | 0 | 7 | 2 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Olivier-Maxence Prosper ·
Layup (2 pts) · 11:26 Q1
"Olivier-Maxence Prosper makes 1-foot two point shot (Klay Thompson assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Kyrie Irving
DAL
14%
2
Jimmy Butler III
GS
13%
3
P.J. Washington
DAL
12%
4
Buddy Hield
GS
10%
5
Stephen Curry
GS
9%
6
Klay Thompson
DAL
9%
7
Moses Moody
GS
8%
8
Draymond Green
GS
8%
9
Kessler Edwards
DAL
8%
10
Dante Exum
DAL
8%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
12%
Dunk
5%
Free Throw
14%
Jumper
51%
Layup
18%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stephen Curry | GS | 24.5 | 3.8 | 6.6 |
| 2 | Kyrie Irving | DAL | 23.9 | 5.3 | 5.6 |
| 3 | P.J. Washington | DAL | 19.3 | 9.9 | 3.2 |
| 4 | Jimmy Butler III | GS | 16.1 | 5.1 | 5.1 |
| 5 | Brandin Podziemski | GS | 15.3 | 5.1 | 4.3 |
| 6 | Klay Thompson | DAL | 13.7 | 3.8 | 2.2 |
| 7 | Spencer Dinwiddie | DAL | 13.6 | 2.5 | 4.2 |
| 8 | Max Christie | DAL | 13.0 | 4.2 | 2.6 |
| 9 | Naji Marshall | DAL | 12.8 | 4.1 | 3.4 |
| 10 | Moses Moody | GS | 11.3 | 3.2 | 1.9 |
| 11 | Buddy Hield | GS | 10.4 | 3.7 | 2.4 |
| 12 | Draymond Green | GS | 9.0 | 4.5 | 5.2 |
| 13 | Dante Exum | DAL | 9.0 | 2.0 | 3.2 |
| 14 | Quinten Post | GS | 8.5 | 3.8 | 1.9 |
| 15 | Jaden Hardy | DAL | 7.8 | 1.7 | 1.5 |
| 16 | Olivier-Maxence Prosper | DAL | 6.7 | 3.0 | 1.2 |
| 17 | Gui Santos | GS | 6.2 | 3.4 | 1.2 |
| 18 | Kevon Looney | GS | 5.5 | 6.7 | 2.0 |
| 19 | Gary Payton II | GS | 5.5 | 2.5 | 1.4 |
| 20 | Kessler Edwards | DAL | 4.6 | 3.4 | 1.1 |
| 21 | Pat Spencer | GS | 4.5 | 1.7 | 1.4 |
| 22 | Trayce Jackson-Davis | GS | 4.1 | 3.9 | 1.0 |
| 23 | Jackson Rowe | GS | 3.8 | 2.0 | 0.9 |
| 24 | Kylor Kelley | DAL | 3.7 | 2.9 | 0.6 |
| 25 | Brandon Williams | DAL | 2.6 | 0.7 | 1.0 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.