NBA games

PHI @ BKN

NBA Barclays Center ·Final
96–100
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
PHI2722173096
BKN29242324100

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (BKN) / 10 (PHI) games this season
PHI away
home BKN
41% 59%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Kelly Oubre Jr. S 39 30 3 0
Quentin Grimes S 36 30 9 4
Justin Edwards 31 13 5 3
Jared Butler S 25 8 2 9
Guerschon Yabusele S 21 5 2 1
Andre Drummond 15 4 8 1
Paul George S 37 2 6 4
Adem Bona 17 2 2 0
Jeff Dowtin Jr. 15 2 1 3
Ricky Council IV 4 0 0 0
Player MIN PTS REB AST
D'Angelo Russell S 26 22 5 4
Trendon Watford 24 18 1 2
Cameron Johnson S 32 16 6 3
Nic Claxton S 32 13 11 3
Day'Ron Sharpe 15 8 9 2
Keon Johnson S 30 6 5 3
Ziaire Williams S 26 6 3 1
Jalen Wilson 22 6 4 2
Tyrese Martin 15 3 3 1
Tosan Evbuomwan 17 2 2 2

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
D'Angelo Russell · Jumper (2 pts) · 11:42 Q1
"D'Angelo Russell makes 11-foot driving floating jump shot"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Tyrese Maxey PHI
17%
2 Kelly Oubre Jr. PHI
12%
3 Keon Johnson BKN
11%
4 D'Angelo Russell BKN
11%
5 Nic Claxton BKN
11%
6 Cameron Johnson BKN
10%
7 Paul George PHI
10%
8 Ziaire Williams BKN
8%
9 Justin Edwards PHI
8%
10 Guerschon Yabusele PHI
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
18%
Dunk
2%
Free Throw
36%
Jumper
19%
Layup
26%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Tyrese Maxey PHI 28.4 4.4 6.7
2 Cameron Johnson BKN 19.4 4.1 3.0
3 Paul George PHI 18.8 4.6 4.3
4 Kelly Oubre Jr. PHI 15.8 8.3 2.6
5 Keon Johnson BKN 15.8 5.0 2.9
6 D'Angelo Russell BKN 15.1 3.8 5.0
7 Guerschon Yabusele PHI 14.8 6.5 2.5
8 Nic Claxton BKN 12.5 8.0 1.8
9 Quentin Grimes PHI 11.6 3.8 2.7
10 Jalen Wilson BKN 11.3 4.2 2.8
11 Tosan Evbuomwan BKN 10.4 4.1 2.1
12 Ziaire Williams BKN 10.1 4.8 1.8
13 Justin Edwards PHI 9.4 3.5 1.7
14 Day'Ron Sharpe BKN 9.2 6.0 1.6
15 Jared Butler PHI 9.0 2.6 2.5
16 Trendon Watford BKN 8.5 3.0 1.6
17 Tyrese Martin BKN 8.3 4.1 1.8
18 Ricky Council IV PHI 6.0 2.2 1.3
19 Andre Drummond PHI 4.9 5.4 0.7
20 Reece Beekman BKN 3.5 1.5 1.8
21 Adem Bona PHI 3.4 3.6 0.4
22 Jeff Dowtin Jr. PHI 3.4 1.3 1.3
23 Dariq Whitehead BKN 2.9 0.9 0.4
24 Maxwell Lewis BKN 2.6 1.4 0.6
25 Chuma Okeke PHI 1.4 0.5 0.3

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.