DET @ CHI
NBA
United Center
·Final
132–92
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 34 | 37 | 34 | 27 | 132 |
| CHI | 18 | 11 | 30 | 33 | 92 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (CHI) / 10 (DET) games this season
DET
away
home
CHI
46%
54%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Beasley | 16 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| Cade Cunningham S | 27 | 20 | 6 | 7 |
| Tobias Harris S | 25 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| Ausar Thompson S | 22 | 16 | 3 | 4 |
| Isaiah Stewart | 15 | 14 | 6 | 3 |
| Marcus Sasser | 11 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| Simone Fontecchio | 26 | 8 | 10 | 1 |
| Paul Reed | 10 | 5 | 6 | 1 |
| Dennis Schroder | 15 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| Jalen Duren S | 23 | 4 | 11 | 5 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Tobias Harris ·
Jumper (2 pts) · 11:19 Q1
"Tobias Harris makes 14-foot jumper (Cade Cunningham assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Tobias Harris
DET
13%
2
Cade Cunningham
DET
12%
3
Jalen Duren
DET
12%
4
Nikola Vucevic
CHI
11%
5
Josh Giddey
CHI
10%
6
Ausar Thompson
DET
9%
7
Tim Hardaway Jr.
DET
9%
8
Coby White
CHI
8%
9
Ayo Dosunmu
CHI
8%
10
Matas Buzelis
CHI
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
15%
Dunk
8%
Free Throw
8%
Jumper
38%
Layup
31%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cade Cunningham | DET | 30.5 | 6.1 | 10.6 |
| 2 | Coby White | CHI | 21.1 | 3.3 | 4.9 |
| 3 | Josh Giddey | CHI | 18.3 | 6.7 | 6.0 |
| 4 | Nikola Vucevic | CHI | 16.5 | 9.6 | 4.1 |
| 5 | Jalen Duren | DET | 16.1 | 11.7 | 3.4 |
| 6 | Malik Beasley | DET | 15.5 | 3.1 | 2.2 |
| 7 | Ayo Dosunmu | CHI | 13.8 | 2.7 | 4.5 |
| 8 | Tobias Harris | DET | 13.7 | 5.3 | 1.9 |
| 9 | Ausar Thompson | DET | 11.8 | 5.9 | 2.6 |
| 10 | Dennis Schroder | DET | 11.0 | 2.7 | 4.3 |
| 11 | Matas Buzelis | CHI | 10.5 | 4.1 | 1.3 |
| 12 | Patrick Williams | CHI | 10.5 | 4.7 | 2.0 |
| 13 | Tim Hardaway Jr. | DET | 9.6 | 3.1 | 1.9 |
| 14 | Jalen Smith | CHI | 8.2 | 5.7 | 1.0 |
| 15 | Isaiah Stewart | DET | 5.9 | 4.9 | 1.2 |
| 16 | Ronald Holland II | DET | 5.9 | 2.5 | 1.3 |
| 17 | Simone Fontecchio | DET | 5.7 | 2.8 | 1.1 |
| 18 | Tre Jones | CHI | 5.6 | 1.6 | 3.0 |
| 19 | Marcus Sasser | DET | 5.3 | 1.4 | 2.9 |
| 20 | Dalen Terry | CHI | 4.1 | 1.6 | 1.3 |
| 21 | Lindy Waters III | DET | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.7 |
| 22 | Kevin Huerter | CHI | 3.7 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| 23 | Jevon Carter | CHI | 3.6 | 1.1 | 0.9 |
| 24 | Julian Phillips | CHI | 3.3 | 1.6 | 0.7 |
| 25 | Talen Horton-Tucker | CHI | 3.1 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| 26 | Paul Reed | DET | 2.7 | 2.7 | 0.6 |
| 27 | Zach Collins | CHI | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.