NBA games

CHA @ BKN

NBA Barclays Center ·Final
89–97
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
CHA3019162489
BKN3427241297

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (BKN) / 10 (CHA) games this season
CHA away
home BKN
24% 76%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Moussa Diabate S 27 21 10 0
Tidjane Salaun 27 16 5 0
Nick Smith Jr. S 36 13 1 5
KJ Simpson 30 9 9 4
Miles Bridges S 29 7 7 3
DaQuan Jeffries 25 7 1 1
LaMelo Ball S 10 5 1 3
Josh Green S 27 5 2 1
Seth Curry 14 4 1 1
Taj Gibson 15 2 3 0
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Nic Claxton S 24 16 4 1
Cameron Johnson S 25 14 5 3
Day'Ron Sharpe 19 14 9 2
Trendon Watford 20 13 2 4
Ziaire Williams S 22 11 5 3
D'Angelo Russell S 23 11 3 4
Tosan Evbuomwan 26 7 6 1
Keon Johnson S 27 5 4 1
Tyrese Martin 22 4 3 3
Jalen Wilson 27 2 6 2

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Josh Green · Layup (2 pts) · 11:55 Q1
"Josh Green makes driving layup"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 LaMelo Ball CHA
11%
2 Miles Bridges CHA
11%
3 D'Angelo Russell BKN
8%
4 Keon Johnson BKN
8%
5 Nic Claxton BKN
8%
6 Noah Clowney BKN
7%
7 Cameron Johnson BKN
7%
8 Moussa Diabate CHA
7%
9 KJ Simpson CHA
6%
10 Josh Green CHA
6%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
44%
Dunk
3%
Free Throw
15%
Jumper
20%
Layup
18%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 LaMelo Ball CHA 24.1 5.0 7.3
2 Miles Bridges CHA 23.0 8.4 4.7
3 Cameron Johnson BKN 19.6 3.8 2.9
4 D'Angelo Russell BKN 16.0 3.8 5.1
5 Keon Johnson BKN 15.5 4.6 2.9
6 Nick Smith Jr. CHA 13.5 3.3 3.4
7 Nic Claxton BKN 11.5 7.6 1.5
8 Jalen Wilson BKN 11.1 3.7 2.5
9 KJ Simpson CHA 9.9 3.1 2.9
10 Tosan Evbuomwan BKN 9.6 3.9 2.0
11 Josh Green CHA 9.3 2.7 1.4
12 Ziaire Williams BKN 9.1 4.6 1.5
13 Jusuf Nurkic CHA 8.6 7.6 2.7
14 Trendon Watford BKN 8.4 3.2 1.4
15 Moussa Diabate CHA 8.2 8.4 1.7
16 Day'Ron Sharpe BKN 8.2 5.8 1.4
17 Tyrese Martin BKN 8.1 4.0 1.7
18 Noah Clowney BKN 7.9 3.1 1.0
19 Seth Curry CHA 7.3 2.1 1.2
20 Elfrid Payton CHA 6.6 3.6 5.6
21 Tidjane Salaun CHA 5.6 3.7 1.2
22 DaQuan Jeffries CHA 5.4 3.1 1.6
23 Taj Gibson CHA 3.2 3.9 0.7
24 Reece Beekman BKN 2.9 1.1 1.7

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.