NBA games

UTAH @ LAC

NBA Intuit Dome ·Final
110–130
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
UTAH30263024110
LAC29293636130

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (LAC) / 10 (UTAH) games this season
UTAH away
home LAC
20% 80%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Jordan Clarkson S 34 24 3 3
Keyonte George 33 21 4 4
Johnny Juzang 25 19 4 1
Kyle Filipowski S 29 13 8 5
Svi Mykhailiuk S 27 10 3 0
Micah Potter S 25 8 4 2
Brice Sensabaugh 14 6 2 0
Isaiah Collier S 29 5 5 9
Oscar Tshiebwe 8 2 3 1
Cody Williams 15 2 2 1
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Ivica Zubac S 33 26 15 5
Norman Powell S 36 26 1 3
James Harden S 38 23 2 17
Amir Coffey 28 17 1 1
Derrick Jones Jr. S 27 11 3 1
Kawhi Leonard S 31 10 5 3
Kobe Brown 8 7 1 0
Drew Eubanks 6 4 3 0
Kris Dunn 22 3 4 2
MarJon Beauchamp 2 3 0 1

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Jordan Clarkson · 3PT (3 pts) · 11:40 Q1
"Jordan Clarkson makes 27-foot three point jumper (Kyle Filipowski assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Norman Powell LAC
17%
2 Ivica Zubac LAC
14%
3 Kawhi Leonard LAC
12%
4 Jordan Clarkson UTAH
12%
5 James Harden LAC
10%
6 Isaiah Collier UTAH
10%
7 Derrick Jones Jr. LAC
8%
8 Svi Mykhailiuk UTAH
8%
9 Cody Williams UTAH
8%
10 Keyonte George UTAH
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
20%
Dunk
4%
Free Throw
13%
Jumper
43%
Layup
20%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Norman Powell LAC 24.0 4.3 3.1
2 James Harden LAC 22.7 5.2 11.2
3 Kawhi Leonard LAC 19.9 5.2 3.5
4 Jordan Clarkson UTAH 19.2 3.5 3.8
5 Keyonte George UTAH 19.1 4.1 6.3
6 Ivica Zubac LAC 16.8 12.0 2.7
7 Isaiah Collier UTAH 15.4 4.4 8.4
8 Derrick Jones Jr. LAC 13.4 5.6 1.8
9 Svi Mykhailiuk UTAH 11.7 3.5 2.4
10 Amir Coffey LAC 10.4 2.4 1.5
11 Johnny Juzang UTAH 8.1 3.4 1.1
12 Drew Eubanks LAC 7.5 4.9 1.0
13 Brice Sensabaugh UTAH 6.8 2.2 1.0
14 Kyle Filipowski UTAH 6.5 5.4 1.6
15 Cody Williams UTAH 5.4 1.8 1.2
16 Micah Potter UTAH 5.3 3.3 0.7
17 Nicolas Batum LAC 4.9 2.9 1.0
18 Kris Dunn LAC 4.5 3.0 2.4
19 Patty Mills LAC 4.3 1.3 1.0
20 Elijah Harkless UTAH 3.3 1.9 0.7
21 MarJon Beauchamp LAC 3.0 1.4 0.8
22 Oscar Tshiebwe UTAH 2.6 4.3 0.2
23 Jordan Miller LAC 2.6 1.4 0.8
24 Kobe Brown LAC 2.6 2.1 0.8

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.