NO @ SAC
NBA
Golden 1 Center
·Final
118–123
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 31 | 34 | 22 | 31 | 118 |
| SAC | 24 | 30 | 45 | 24 | 123 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (SAC) / 10 (NO) games this season
NO
away
home
SAC
46%
54%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zion Williamson S | 28 | 40 | 4 | 4 |
| CJ McCollum S | 33 | 31 | 6 | 3 |
| Trey Murphy III S | 38 | 20 | 6 | 7 |
| Brandon Boston | 15 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| Karlo Matkovic | 17 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
| Jose Alvarado S | 29 | 5 | 3 | 9 |
| Antonio Reeves | 14 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Yves Missi S | 32 | 2 | 13 | 1 |
| Jordan Hawkins | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Javonte Green | 16 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Zion Williamson ·
Layup (2 pts) · 11:31 Q1
"Zion Williamson makes two point shot"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Zion Williamson
NO
13%
2
CJ McCollum
NO
12%
3
Malik Monk
SAC
11%
4
Domantas Sabonis
SAC
11%
5
DeMar DeRozan
SAC
10%
6
Zach LaVine
SAC
10%
7
Yves Missi
NO
9%
8
Keegan Murray
SAC
8%
9
Karlo Matkovic
NO
8%
10
Trey Murphy III
NO
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
1%
Dunk
10%
Free Throw
9%
Jumper
21%
Layup
59%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zion Williamson | NO | 24.7 | 8.6 | 5.3 |
| 2 | Trey Murphy III | NO | 24.7 | 5.6 | 4.7 |
| 3 | Zach LaVine | SAC | 23.5 | 4.5 | 5.2 |
| 4 | CJ McCollum | NO | 23.1 | 4.3 | 4.1 |
| 5 | DeMar DeRozan | SAC | 22.8 | 4.4 | 3.1 |
| 6 | Malik Monk | SAC | 22.7 | 4.5 | 6.9 |
| 7 | Domantas Sabonis | SAC | 21.2 | 13.2 | 7.2 |
| 8 | Keegan Murray | SAC | 12.5 | 5.9 | 1.8 |
| 9 | Jonas Valanciunas | SAC | 11.5 | 7.8 | 2.3 |
| 10 | Jordan Hawkins | NO | 10.5 | 2.4 | 1.4 |
| 11 | Keon Ellis | SAC | 9.3 | 3.1 | 1.9 |
| 12 | Yves Missi | NO | 8.6 | 7.0 | 1.4 |
| 13 | Jose Alvarado | NO | 8.0 | 2.1 | 4.0 |
| 14 | Brandon Boston | NO | 6.7 | 2.6 | 1.0 |
| 15 | Javonte Green | NO | 6.4 | 4.1 | 1.3 |
| 16 | Trey Lyles | SAC | 6.1 | 4.0 | 1.1 |
| 17 | Jake LaRavia | SAC | 4.7 | 3.4 | 1.2 |
| 18 | Daishen Nix | SAC | 4.6 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| 19 | Karlo Matkovic | NO | 4.0 | 3.9 | 0.9 |
| 20 | Devin Carter | SAC | 3.7 | 1.7 | 1.1 |
| 21 | Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | NO | 3.6 | 3.9 | 1.2 |
| 22 | Mason Jones | SAC | 3.5 | 1.9 | 1.3 |
| 23 | Antonio Reeves | NO | 3.2 | 1.1 | 0.9 |
| 24 | Jae Crowder | SAC | 2.8 | 1.6 | 0.5 |
| 25 | Doug McDermott | SAC | 2.8 | 0.7 | 0.5 |
| 26 | Isaiah Crawford | SAC | 2.5 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.