UTAH @ PHX
NBA
Mortgage Matchup Center
·Final
127–135
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q5 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTAH | 30 | 25 | 35 | 32 | 5 | 127 |
| PHX | 20 | 35 | 40 | 27 | 13 | 135 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (PHX) / 10 (UTAH) games this season
UTAH
away
home
PHX
32%
68%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Collins S | 39 | 21 | 6 | 2 |
| Lauri Markkanen S | 40 | 20 | 7 | 1 |
| Walker Kessler S | 38 | 19 | 22 | 4 |
| Keyonte George | 35 | 18 | 3 | 4 |
| Isaiah Collier S | 35 | 15 | 4 | 13 |
| Kyle Filipowski | 15 | 11 | 11 | 1 |
| Svi Mykhailiuk S | 23 | 9 | 3 | 3 |
| Johnny Juzang | 16 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| Brice Sensabaugh | 13 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
| Micah Potter | 11 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Isaiah Collier ·
Jumper (2 pts) · 11:35 Q1
"Isaiah Collier makes 20-foot pullup jump shot"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Devin Booker
PHX
13%
2
John Collins
UTAH
13%
3
Nick Richards
PHX
11%
4
Walker Kessler
UTAH
11%
5
Isaiah Collier
UTAH
10%
6
Svi Mykhailiuk
UTAH
9%
7
Lauri Markkanen
UTAH
9%
8
Tyus Jones
PHX
8%
9
Grayson Allen
PHX
8%
10
Royce O'Neale
PHX
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
7%
Dunk
3%
Free Throw
55%
Jumper
23%
Layup
13%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Devin Booker | PHX | 28.1 | 4.1 | 6.7 |
| 2 | Keyonte George | UTAH | 19.5 | 4.2 | 6.3 |
| 3 | John Collins | UTAH | 19.1 | 8.2 | 2.2 |
| 4 | Lauri Markkanen | UTAH | 16.8 | 5.6 | 1.7 |
| 5 | Isaiah Collier | UTAH | 14.3 | 4.4 | 7.7 |
| 6 | Walker Kessler | UTAH | 12.5 | 11.7 | 1.4 |
| 7 | Tyus Jones | PHX | 11.0 | 2.1 | 4.9 |
| 8 | Svi Mykhailiuk | UTAH | 10.9 | 3.3 | 2.1 |
| 9 | Nick Richards | PHX | 10.7 | 9.8 | 1.3 |
| 10 | Grayson Allen | PHX | 10.5 | 3.7 | 2.6 |
| 11 | Brice Sensabaugh | UTAH | 8.6 | 2.5 | 1.4 |
| 12 | Johnny Juzang | UTAH | 7.9 | 3.5 | 1.1 |
| 13 | Royce O'Neale | PHX | 7.7 | 3.7 | 1.7 |
| 14 | Ryan Dunn | PHX | 6.2 | 3.9 | 1.3 |
| 15 | Kyle Filipowski | UTAH | 6.0 | 4.4 | 1.7 |
| 16 | Jalen Hood-Schifino | UTAH | 5.4 | 2.3 | 2.9 |
| 17 | Micah Potter | UTAH | 5.2 | 3.3 | 0.7 |
| 18 | Collin Gillespie | PHX | 5.2 | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 19 | Mason Plumlee | PHX | 5.1 | 5.8 | 1.5 |
| 20 | Oso Ighodaro | PHX | 4.3 | 2.7 | 1.1 |
| 21 | Bol Bol | PHX | 4.0 | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| 22 | TyTy Washington Jr. | PHX | 4.0 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| 23 | Damion Lee | PHX | 3.6 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| 24 | Elijah Harkless | UTAH | 3.3 | 1.9 | 0.7 |
| 25 | Monte Morris | PHX | 3.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| 26 | Jalen Bridges | PHX | 2.9 | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| 27 | Oscar Tshiebwe | UTAH | 2.7 | 4.5 | 0.3 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.