NBA games

GS @ UTAH

NBA Delta Center ·Final
128–131
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
GS25332941128
UTAH28283144131

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (UTAH) / 10 (GS) games this season
GS away
home UTAH
54% 46%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Stephen Curry S 35 32 1 7
Brandin Podziemski S 40 29 6 4
Buddy Hield S 31 18 3 2
Quinten Post S 25 10 7 3
Gary Payton II 14 9 1 1
Draymond Green S 34 7 4 9
Pat Spencer 14 7 4 4
Jackson Rowe 14 6 5 0
Kevon Looney 23 6 10 3
Gui Santos 11 4 0 0
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Jordan Clarkson S 33 31 4 5
Keyonte George 31 26 3 6
Isaiah Collier S 34 20 6 11
John Collins S 30 19 5 2
Walker Kessler S 36 15 18 2
Svi Mykhailiuk S 23 10 5 4
Kyle Filipowski 12 4 3 0
Johnny Juzang 11 3 0 0
Micah Potter 18 3 4 0
Brice Sensabaugh 12 0 0 0

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Jordan Clarkson · 3PT (3 pts) · 11:12 Q1
"Jordan Clarkson makes 28-foot three pointer"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Andrew Wiggins GS
20%
2 John Collins UTAH
15%
3 Walker Kessler UTAH
12%
4 Stephen Curry GS
10%
5 Isaiah Collier UTAH
9%
6 Draymond Green GS
9%
7 Quinten Post GS
8%
8 Buddy Hield GS
8%
9 Johnny Juzang UTAH
8%
10 Jordan Clarkson UTAH
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
20%
Dunk
4%
Free Throw
18%
Jumper
21%
Layup
37%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Stephen Curry GS 22.6 3.5 6.8
2 Andrew Wiggins GS 21.5 5.5 3.3
3 Keyonte George UTAH 19.6 4.3 6.5
4 Jordan Clarkson UTAH 19.2 3.6 4.0
5 John Collins UTAH 19.0 8.1 2.4
6 Isaiah Collier UTAH 13.6 4.0 8.3
7 Walker Kessler UTAH 12.6 11.4 1.3
8 Dennis Schroder GS 12.5 2.9 4.4
9 Svi Mykhailiuk UTAH 10.6 3.0 1.8
10 Brandin Podziemski GS 10.2 3.7 2.9
11 Draymond Green GS 9.7 6.1 5.2
12 Brice Sensabaugh UTAH 9.5 2.6 1.7
13 Buddy Hield GS 8.7 2.9 1.9
14 Quinten Post GS 7.3 3.3 1.7
15 Gui Santos GS 6.9 4.0 1.7
16 Gary Payton II GS 6.7 3.6 1.6
17 Kyle Filipowski UTAH 6.6 4.4 1.8
18 Kevon Looney GS 6.5 7.0 2.2
19 Johnny Juzang UTAH 6.4 2.8 1.0
20 Trayce Jackson-Davis GS 5.6 6.5 1.4
21 Kyle Anderson GS 5.5 3.0 1.8
22 Micah Potter UTAH 5.4 3.2 0.9
23 Lindy Waters III GS 4.3 2.3 0.8
24 Elijah Harkless UTAH 3.7 2.0 0.8
25 Oscar Tshiebwe UTAH 2.8 4.5 0.3
26 Pat Spencer GS 2.6 1.2 1.1

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.