NBA games

WSH @ BKN

NBA Barclays Center ·Final
119–102
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
WSH33322331119
BKN26351229102

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (BKN) / 10 (WSH) games this season
WSH away
home BKN
36% 64%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Jordan Poole S 30 19 3 8
Kyshawn George S 30 17 7 3
Corey Kispert 30 17 2 3
Bub Carrington S 35 16 4 10
Tristan Vukcevic 19 12 6 1
Justin Champagnie 17 11 2 0
Bilal Coulibaly S 31 11 10 11
Richaun Holmes S 27 9 5 3
Malcolm Brogdon 17 7 1 1
Johnny Davis 2 0 0 0
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Keon Johnson S 32 25 6 3
Cameron Johnson S 25 17 3 2
Tosan Evbuomwan 27 15 5 1
Day'Ron Sharpe 16 11 4 2
Tyrese Martin 19 8 2 2
Jalen Wilson 30 7 3 4
Nic Claxton S 24 5 6 2
D'Angelo Russell S 16 5 0 2
Ziaire Williams S 18 4 3 0
Ben Simmons 18 4 5 6

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Kyshawn George · 3PT (3 pts) · 11:36 Q1
"Kyshawn George makes 25-foot three pointer (Richaun Holmes assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Cameron Johnson BKN
13%
2 Keon Johnson BKN
11%
3 Nic Claxton BKN
11%
4 D'Angelo Russell BKN
10%
5 Noah Clowney BKN
9%
6 Alex Sarr WSH
9%
7 Bilal Coulibaly WSH
9%
8 Jalen Wilson BKN
8%
9 Jordan Poole WSH
7%
10 Kyshawn George WSH
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
30%
Dunk
6%
Free Throw
17%
Jumper
21%
Layup
25%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Cameron Johnson BKN 20.8 3.9 3.6
2 Jordan Poole WSH 18.5 4.2 5.2
3 D'Angelo Russell BKN 15.9 4.0 6.5
4 Keon Johnson BKN 14.4 4.0 3.0
5 Bilal Coulibaly WSH 13.8 4.6 3.2
6 Jalen Wilson BKN 13.1 4.1 2.8
7 Malcolm Brogdon WSH 12.3 4.1 4.8
8 Nic Claxton BKN 11.2 7.8 1.8
9 Tosan Evbuomwan BKN 11.2 4.2 2.4
10 Ziaire Williams BKN 11.0 4.9 1.8
11 Corey Kispert WSH 10.9 3.2 1.4
12 Tyrese Martin BKN 10.1 4.3 2.2
13 Alex Sarr WSH 9.8 6.6 1.5
14 Noah Clowney BKN 9.0 3.5 1.1
15 Ben Simmons BKN 8.9 4.7 7.0
16 Day'Ron Sharpe BKN 8.8 6.7 1.6
17 Kyshawn George WSH 7.9 3.4 1.9
18 Bub Carrington WSH 7.2 2.6 2.5
19 Reece Beekman BKN 4.6 1.8 2.5
20 Justin Champagnie WSH 4.2 2.7 0.8
21 Richaun Holmes WSH 4.1 4.3 0.8
22 Tristan Vukcevic WSH 2.0 0.9 0.4
23 Johnny Davis WSH 1.4 0.8 0.3
24 Anthony Gill WSH 1.3 0.6 0.2

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.