NBA games

HOU @ BKN

NBA Barclays Center ·Final
97–99
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
HOU2323213097
BKN2222272899

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (BKN) / 10 (HOU) games this season
HOU away
home BKN
63% 37%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Alperen Sengun S 35 24 20 4
Dillon Brooks S 37 16 3 1
Reed Sheppard 28 16 7 0
Jalen Green S 33 13 3 5
Cam Whitmore 24 12 3 1
Amen Thompson S 40 7 6 8
Jae'Sean Tate 16 5 2 0
Steven Adams 13 4 1 1
Aaron Holiday S 14 0 0 3
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Keon Johnson S 29 22 4 2
Tosan Evbuomwan 28 14 4 4
Nic Claxton S 28 14 4 2
D'Angelo Russell S 26 10 4 5
Tyrese Martin 20 10 6 1
Ziaire Williams S 30 8 7 1
Day'Ron Sharpe 20 8 3 4
Jalen Wilson S 18 7 2 1
Trendon Watford 19 4 3 2
Reece Beekman 22 2 2 4

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Dillon Brooks · Jumper (2 pts) · 11:21 Q1
"Dillon Brooks makes 5-foot two point shot (Amen Thompson assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Amen Thompson HOU
11%
2 Alperen Sengun HOU
10%
3 Jalen Green HOU
9%
4 Nic Claxton BKN
8%
5 Dillon Brooks HOU
7%
6 D'Angelo Russell BKN
7%
7 Keon Johnson BKN
7%
8 Noah Clowney BKN
7%
9 Jae'Sean Tate HOU
6%
10 Ziaire Williams BKN
6%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
4%
Dunk
5%
Free Throw
32%
Jumper
37%
Layup
23%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Cam Thomas BKN 24.1 4.1 4.2
2 Jalen Green HOU 23.2 4.7 4.0
3 Alperen Sengun HOU 20.9 10.4 5.0
4 Amen Thompson HOU 17.8 10.1 5.1
5 D'Angelo Russell BKN 15.6 3.5 6.5
6 Dillon Brooks HOU 14.6 3.9 1.6
7 Keon Johnson BKN 14.0 3.5 2.9
8 Jalen Wilson BKN 13.1 4.1 2.6
9 Fred VanVleet HOU 13.0 3.0 5.0
10 Jabari Smith Jr. HOU 12.8 5.9 1.7
11 Ziaire Williams BKN 11.3 4.6 1.7
12 Tari Eason HOU 11.1 5.7 1.5
13 Nic Claxton BKN 10.6 7.9 1.8
14 Tosan Evbuomwan BKN 10.1 3.9 2.0
15 Tyrese Martin BKN 9.7 3.9 1.8
16 Trendon Watford BKN 9.2 3.0 1.4
17 Noah Clowney BKN 9.0 3.6 1.0
18 Cam Whitmore HOU 9.0 4.4 1.6
19 Day'Ron Sharpe BKN 8.5 6.4 1.4
20 Steven Adams HOU 6.0 7.1 1.2
21 Aaron Holiday HOU 5.5 1.6 1.0
22 Jae'Sean Tate HOU 4.8 2.1 1.0
23 Jeff Green HOU 4.5 1.6 0.6
24 Reece Beekman BKN 3.5 1.0 1.7
25 Reed Sheppard HOU 3.2 2.2 0.8
26 Jock Landale HOU 3.0 2.2 0.7
27 Nate Williams HOU 2.2 0.6 0.4

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.