DAL @ DET
NBA
Little Caesars Arena
·Final
102–117
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL | 32 | 26 | 27 | 17 | 102 |
| DET | 28 | 34 | 31 | 24 | 117 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (DET) / 10 (DAL) games this season
DAL
away
home
DET
33%
67%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving S | 37 | 28 | 6 | 3 |
| P.J. Washington S | 36 | 22 | 13 | 1 |
| Daniel Gafford S | 33 | 16 | 10 | 3 |
| Klay Thompson S | 26 | 13 | 4 | 4 |
| Naji Marshall | 22 | 7 | 3 | 1 |
| Spencer Dinwiddie S | 23 | 5 | 1 | 4 |
| Kylor Kelley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 14 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| Dante Exum | 14 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Kessler Edwards | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Tobias Harris ·
Jumper (2 pts) · 11:39 Q1
"Tobias Harris makes 14-foot jumper (Cade Cunningham assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Kyrie Irving
DAL
15%
2
Daniel Gafford
DAL
12%
3
Cade Cunningham
DET
12%
4
P.J. Washington
DAL
10%
5
Jalen Duren
DET
10%
6
Tobias Harris
DET
9%
7
Ausar Thompson
DET
9%
8
Spencer Dinwiddie
DAL
8%
9
Tim Hardaway Jr.
DET
8%
10
Klay Thompson
DAL
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
21%
Dunk
4%
Free Throw
8%
Jumper
54%
Layup
14%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cade Cunningham | DET | 29.3 | 5.9 | 9.6 |
| 2 | Kyrie Irving | DAL | 25.3 | 4.6 | 4.7 |
| 3 | P.J. Washington | DAL | 19.6 | 9.8 | 3.8 |
| 4 | Daniel Gafford | DAL | 17.3 | 9.7 | 2.1 |
| 5 | Malik Beasley | DET | 16.0 | 3.1 | 2.1 |
| 6 | Spencer Dinwiddie | DAL | 13.9 | 3.5 | 4.5 |
| 7 | Jalen Duren | DET | 13.8 | 11.7 | 2.1 |
| 8 | Tobias Harris | DET | 12.3 | 5.0 | 2.3 |
| 9 | Klay Thompson | DAL | 12.1 | 3.3 | 2.1 |
| 10 | Tim Hardaway Jr. | DET | 11.7 | 3.1 | 1.8 |
| 11 | Naji Marshall | DAL | 11.0 | 3.9 | 3.5 |
| 12 | Quentin Grimes | DAL | 10.8 | 3.0 | 2.7 |
| 13 | Jaden Hardy | DAL | 9.8 | 2.2 | 1.9 |
| 14 | Ausar Thompson | DET | 9.2 | 5.0 | 1.7 |
| 15 | Olivier-Maxence Prosper | DAL | 6.3 | 2.9 | 0.9 |
| 16 | Marcus Sasser | DET | 6.1 | 1.8 | 2.1 |
| 17 | Ronald Holland II | DET | 6.0 | 2.4 | 1.1 |
| 18 | Simone Fontecchio | DET | 5.6 | 2.8 | 1.1 |
| 19 | Isaiah Stewart | DET | 5.4 | 5.6 | 1.4 |
| 20 | Paul Reed | DET | 3.3 | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| 21 | Wendell Moore Jr. | DET | 3.2 | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 22 | Kessler Edwards | DAL | 3.1 | 2.4 | 0.8 |
| 23 | Markieff Morris | DAL | 2.3 | 1.1 | 0.5 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.