LAC @ PHX
NBA
Mortgage Matchup Center
·Final
109–111
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAC | 30 | 17 | 31 | 31 | 109 |
| PHX | 34 | 26 | 23 | 28 | 111 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (PHX) / 10 (LAC) games this season
LAC
away
home
PHX
42%
58%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivica Zubac S | 34 | 25 | 16 | 4 |
| James Harden S | 37 | 24 | 6 | 10 |
| Norman Powell S | 38 | 23 | 5 | 2 |
| Kawhi Leonard S | 28 | 17 | 5 | 2 |
| Derrick Jones Jr. S | 31 | 12 | 5 | 1 |
| Amir Coffey | 34 | 6 | 2 | 1 |
| Terance Mann | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Mo Bamba | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Nicolas Batum | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kevin Porter Jr. | 14 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Ivica Zubac ·
Dunk (2 pts) · 11:34 Q1
"Ivica Zubac makes 1-foot dunk (James Harden assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Norman Powell
LAC
17%
2
Kevin Durant
PHX
14%
3
Ivica Zubac
LAC
13%
4
Kawhi Leonard
LAC
12%
5
Devin Booker
PHX
11%
6
James Harden
LAC
9%
7
Nick Richards
PHX
9%
8
Tyus Jones
PHX
8%
9
Derrick Jones Jr.
LAC
7%
10
Bones Hyland
LAC
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
28%
Dunk
3%
Free Throw
9%
Jumper
46%
Layup
14%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Devin Booker | PHX | 28.1 | 4.3 | 6.5 |
| 2 | Kevin Durant | PHX | 26.0 | 6.2 | 4.5 |
| 3 | Norman Powell | LAC | 22.9 | 4.6 | 2.3 |
| 4 | James Harden | LAC | 22.8 | 5.3 | 10.1 |
| 5 | Ivica Zubac | LAC | 15.3 | 12.1 | 2.8 |
| 6 | Kawhi Leonard | LAC | 14.3 | 3.7 | 2.1 |
| 7 | Bradley Beal | PHX | 13.6 | 3.3 | 3.5 |
| 8 | Derrick Jones Jr. | LAC | 11.9 | 4.4 | 1.2 |
| 9 | Grayson Allen | PHX | 10.8 | 3.0 | 1.8 |
| 10 | Amir Coffey | LAC | 10.5 | 2.8 | 1.4 |
| 11 | Tyus Jones | PHX | 10.0 | 2.3 | 5.4 |
| 12 | Kevin Porter Jr. | LAC | 9.1 | 3.3 | 3.7 |
| 13 | Nick Richards | PHX | 8.2 | 7.9 | 1.1 |
| 14 | Jusuf Nurkic | PHX | 7.2 | 6.5 | 2.4 |
| 15 | Terance Mann | LAC | 6.9 | 2.9 | 1.6 |
| 16 | Royce O'Neale | PHX | 6.4 | 3.9 | 1.6 |
| 17 | Bones Hyland | LAC | 6.3 | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 18 | Mo Bamba | LAC | 5.8 | 5.3 | 0.8 |
| 19 | Collin Gillespie | PHX | 5.1 | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 20 | Mason Plumlee | PHX | 4.5 | 6.0 | 1.6 |
| 21 | Monte Morris | PHX | 4.5 | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 22 | Nicolas Batum | LAC | 4.1 | 3.1 | 1.0 |
| 23 | Kobe Brown | LAC | 4.0 | 2.8 | 0.9 |
| 24 | Oso Ighodaro | PHX | 3.7 | 2.6 | 0.9 |
| 25 | Bol Bol | PHX | 2.8 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| 26 | Damion Lee | PHX | 2.8 | 0.8 | 0.6 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.