NO @ CHA
NBA
Spectrum Center
·Final
92–123
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 23 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 92 |
| CHA | 31 | 32 | 30 | 30 | 123 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (CHA) / 10 (NO) games this season
NO
away
home
CHA
42%
58%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zion Williamson S | 26 | 28 | 11 | 2 |
| Trey Murphy III S | 37 | 16 | 4 | 5 |
| Jordan Hawkins S | 39 | 14 | 4 | 1 |
| Yves Missi S | 19 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| CJ McCollum S | 23 | 9 | 2 | 3 |
| Javonte Green | 24 | 7 | 3 | 2 |
| Jose Alvarado | 32 | 6 | 1 | 5 |
| Karlo Matkovic | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Antonio Reeves | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | 11 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Miles Bridges ·
Layup (2 pts) · 10:35 Q1
"Miles Bridges makes tip shot"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Zion Williamson
NO
12%
2
Trey Murphy III
NO
12%
3
Miles Bridges
CHA
10%
4
Yves Missi
NO
8%
5
CJ McCollum
NO
8%
6
LaMelo Ball
CHA
8%
7
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl
NO
7%
8
Vasilije Micic
CHA
7%
9
Herbert Jones
NO
7%
10
Josh Green
CHA
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
3%
Dunk
7%
Free Throw
17%
Jumper
42%
Layup
31%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LaMelo Ball | CHA | 26.2 | 5.6 | 8.2 |
| 2 | Zion Williamson | NO | 23.7 | 8.5 | 5.2 |
| 3 | Trey Murphy III | NO | 23.3 | 5.6 | 4.1 |
| 4 | Miles Bridges | CHA | 22.3 | 7.3 | 5.1 |
| 5 | CJ McCollum | NO | 21.1 | 3.7 | 3.6 |
| 6 | Grant Williams | CHA | 12.4 | 6.3 | 2.2 |
| 7 | Jordan Hawkins | NO | 9.6 | 1.9 | 1.1 |
| 8 | Nick Smith Jr. | CHA | 9.3 | 3.1 | 2.3 |
| 9 | Yves Missi | NO | 9.0 | 6.8 | 1.6 |
| 10 | Herbert Jones | NO | 8.2 | 3.0 | 3.6 |
| 11 | Josh Green | CHA | 7.9 | 3.7 | 1.4 |
| 12 | Jose Alvarado | NO | 7.8 | 1.9 | 3.4 |
| 13 | Seth Curry | CHA | 6.8 | 1.8 | 1.1 |
| 14 | Javonte Green | NO | 6.7 | 4.0 | 1.3 |
| 15 | Daniel Theis | NO | 6.6 | 5.6 | 1.7 |
| 16 | DaQuan Jeffries | CHA | 6.6 | 3.0 | 0.8 |
| 17 | Vasilije Micic | CHA | 6.3 | 2.1 | 3.0 |
| 18 | Josh Okogie | CHA | 6.1 | 3.5 | 1.0 |
| 19 | Isaiah Wong | CHA | 5.6 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
| 20 | Moussa Diabate | CHA | 5.3 | 4.2 | 0.7 |
| 21 | Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | NO | 4.5 | 4.4 | 1.6 |
| 22 | Antonio Reeves | NO | 3.7 | 0.9 | 0.6 |
| 23 | Karlo Matkovic | NO | 2.4 | 2.2 | 0.5 |
| 24 | Taj Gibson | CHA | 1.5 | 1.6 | 0.5 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.