NBA games

CLE @ PHI

NBA Xfinity Mobile Arena ·Final
129–132
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
CLE33342933129
PHI39253434132

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (PHI) / 10 (CLE) games this season
CLE away
home PHI
52% 48%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Donovan Mitchell S 33 37 3 7
Ty Jerome 33 33 3 3
Darius Garland S 32 26 1 7
Sam Merrill 19 9 2 2
Jarrett Allen S 34 8 10 1
Max Strus S 27 6 7 2
Georges Niang 18 5 3 2
Jaylon Tyson 14 3 2 0
Dean Wade S 20 2 2 4
Tristan Thompson 10 0 4 2
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Paul George S 36 30 5 3
Tyrese Maxey S 40 29 3 7
Kelly Oubre Jr. S 39 22 13 3
Justin Edwards 26 15 6 1
Eric Gordon S 38 15 0 3
Guerschon Yabusele S 36 12 13 3
Jeff Dowtin Jr. 16 5 1 3
Adem Bona 10 4 2 0

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Guerschon Yabusele · 3PT (3 pts) · 11:21 Q1
"Guerschon Yabusele makes 23-foot three point jumper (Eric Gordon assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Tyrese Maxey PHI
17%
2 Donovan Mitchell CLE
13%
3 Kelly Oubre Jr. PHI
12%
4 Jarrett Allen CLE
11%
5 Darius Garland CLE
10%
6 Paul George PHI
9%
7 Andre Drummond PHI
8%
8 Eric Gordon PHI
6%
9 Max Strus CLE
6%
10 Dean Wade CLE
6%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
19%
Dunk
2%
Free Throw
36%
Jumper
19%
Layup
25%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Tyrese Maxey PHI 27.2 3.7 7.5
2 Darius Garland CLE 24.2 3.2 7.0
3 Donovan Mitchell CLE 23.2 4.4 4.3
4 Paul George PHI 20.7 5.8 5.4
5 Kelly Oubre Jr. PHI 16.5 6.2 2.2
6 Jarrett Allen CLE 16.2 10.4 2.3
7 Guerschon Yabusele PHI 12.3 5.5 2.3
8 Ty Jerome CLE 10.4 3.0 2.7
9 Justin Edwards PHI 9.6 3.2 1.5
10 Max Strus CLE 9.1 3.4 3.4
11 Georges Niang CLE 8.7 3.1 1.4
12 Eric Gordon PHI 8.0 2.0 1.9
13 Ricky Council IV PHI 7.5 2.7 1.6
14 Dean Wade CLE 7.4 4.7 1.6
15 Andre Drummond PHI 6.1 5.8 1.0
16 Sam Merrill CLE 5.3 2.1 1.3
17 Jeff Dowtin Jr. PHI 5.2 1.8 1.7
18 Adem Bona PHI 5.0 4.0 0.8
19 Reggie Jackson PHI 4.7 1.7 1.3
20 Jaylon Tyson CLE 3.3 2.2 0.8
21 Pete Nance PHI 3.3 1.6 0.7
22 JT Thor CLE 3.2 1.3 0.4
23 Tristan Thompson CLE 2.7 3.7 0.8
24 Craig Porter Jr. CLE 2.2 1.0 0.6

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.