MIL @ NO
NBA
Smoothie King Center
·Postponed
Tip-off
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (NO) / 10 (MIL) games this season
MIL
away
home
NO
48%
52%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
Box score available after tip-off.
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
CJ McCollum
NO
15%
2
Giannis Antetokounmpo
MIL
14%
3
Dejounte Murray
NO
12%
4
Trey Murphy III
NO
12%
5
Brook Lopez
MIL
9%
6
Daniel Theis
NO
9%
7
Damian Lillard
MIL
8%
8
Andre Jackson Jr.
MIL
7%
9
Javonte Green
NO
7%
10
Taurean Prince
MIL
6%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
16%
Dunk
2%
Free Throw
9%
Jumper
40%
Layup
33%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Giannis Antetokounmpo | MIL | 30.0 | 13.8 | 6.7 |
| 2 | Damian Lillard | MIL | 24.9 | 4.3 | 6.3 |
| 3 | Trey Murphy III | NO | 23.9 | 5.5 | 4.0 |
| 4 | CJ McCollum | NO | 22.0 | 4.1 | 3.5 |
| 5 | Dejounte Murray | NO | 21.5 | 6.3 | 7.9 |
| 6 | Khris Middleton | MIL | 13.0 | 4.1 | 4.6 |
| 7 | Brook Lopez | MIL | 12.0 | 5.1 | 1.9 |
| 8 | Bobby Portis | MIL | 11.5 | 7.2 | 1.5 |
| 9 | Gary Trent Jr. | MIL | 9.5 | 2.8 | 1.4 |
| 10 | Jordan Hawkins | NO | 8.3 | 2.0 | 1.1 |
| 11 | Jose Alvarado | NO | 8.0 | 2.1 | 3.2 |
| 12 | Taurean Prince | MIL | 7.4 | 2.7 | 1.8 |
| 13 | Daniel Theis | NO | 7.0 | 5.9 | 1.6 |
| 14 | Javonte Green | NO | 6.1 | 3.7 | 1.2 |
| 15 | Ryan Rollins | MIL | 5.3 | 2.4 | 1.1 |
| 16 | Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | NO | 4.8 | 4.5 | 1.6 |
| 17 | Andre Jackson Jr. | MIL | 4.5 | 2.9 | 1.1 |
| 18 | Karlo Matkovic | NO | 2.4 | 2.4 | 0.7 |
| 19 | Stanley Umude | MIL | 2.2 | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| 20 | Chris Livingston | MIL | 2.1 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.