NBA games

NY @ BKN

NBA Barclays Center ·Final
99–95
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
NY2435251599
BKN2625242095

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (BKN) / 10 (NY) games this season
NY away
home BKN
66% 34%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Karl-Anthony Towns S 39 25 16 6
OG Anunoby S 37 20 4 3
Jalen Brunson S 39 17 3 4
Precious Achiuwa 18 11 4 1
Mikal Bridges S 34 10 1 2
Miles McBride 18 7 1 1
Josh Hart S 39 7 12 9
Cameron Payne 9 2 1 3
Landry Shamet 6 0 0 0
Player MIN PTS REB AST
D'Angelo Russell S 31 23 2 10
Cameron Johnson S 35 16 3 2
Tyrese Martin 24 13 7 1
Noah Clowney S 26 10 6 1
Day'Ron Sharpe 14 10 3 0
Nic Claxton S 34 8 12 2
Keon Johnson S 27 7 3 2
Tosan Evbuomwan 20 5 6 1
Jalen Wilson 28 3 5 2

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Jalen Brunson · Jumper (2 pts) · 11:28 Q1
"Jalen Brunson makes 13-foot jump bank shot (Karl-Anthony Towns assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Jalen Brunson NY
12%
2 Mikal Bridges NY
11%
3 OG Anunoby NY
10%
4 Nic Claxton BKN
10%
5 Karl-Anthony Towns NY
9%
6 Cameron Johnson BKN
9%
7 Ziaire Williams BKN
9%
8 Noah Clowney BKN
8%
9 D'Angelo Russell BKN
7%
10 Josh Hart NY
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
6%
Dunk
2%
Free Throw
60%
Jumper
24%
Layup
9%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Jalen Brunson NY 28.5 3.3 6.8
2 Karl-Anthony Towns NY 25.9 13.5 4.2
3 Cameron Johnson BKN 22.9 4.0 3.9
4 Mikal Bridges NY 18.5 3.1 3.2
5 Josh Hart NY 14.7 11.2 5.1
6 OG Anunoby NY 14.5 4.4 2.2
7 D'Angelo Russell BKN 13.6 3.3 6.1
8 Keon Johnson BKN 13.4 3.6 3.6
9 Noah Clowney BKN 11.7 4.2 1.5
10 Tyrese Martin BKN 11.7 4.1 2.8
11 Ziaire Williams BKN 11.6 5.1 2.2
12 Nic Claxton BKN 10.7 7.6 1.8
13 Jalen Wilson BKN 10.6 3.4 1.6
14 Tosan Evbuomwan BKN 10.1 3.8 1.5
15 Day'Ron Sharpe BKN 9.2 6.6 2.1
16 Trendon Watford BKN 8.6 2.9 1.5
17 Cameron Payne NY 7.6 1.6 1.4
18 Miles McBride NY 7.2 2.4 2.4
19 Precious Achiuwa NY 5.5 4.5 1.1
20 Reece Beekman BKN 4.3 1.4 1.6
21 Landry Shamet NY 4.1 1.5 0.8
22 Jericho Sims NY 2.4 3.1 0.6
23 Ariel Hukporti NY 2.4 2.0 0.5
24 Matt Ryan NY 2.1 0.7 0.4
25 Pacome Dadiet NY 2.1 1.0 0.5
26 Tyler Kolek NY 1.6 0.6 0.6
27 Jacob Toppin NY 1.3 0.9 0.3

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.