UTAH @ NO
NBA
Smoothie King Center
·Final
119–123
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Q5 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UTAH | 38 | 31 | 20 | 21 | 9 | 119 |
| NO | 19 | 30 | 33 | 28 | 13 | 123 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (NO) / 10 (UTAH) games this season
UTAH
away
home
NO
35%
65%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keyonte George S | 38 | 23 | 4 | 7 |
| Isaiah Collier S | 37 | 20 | 3 | 11 |
| Walker Kessler S | 34 | 19 | 13 | 2 |
| Svi Mykhailiuk S | 26 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| Brice Sensabaugh | 24 | 11 | 5 | 1 |
| Kyle Filipowski | 38 | 10 | 17 | 1 |
| Drew Eubanks | 19 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| Patty Mills | 18 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| Cody Williams S | 20 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Elijah Harkless | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Walker Kessler ·
Layup (2 pts) · 10:34 Q1
"Walker Kessler makes driving layup (Cody Williams assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Trey Murphy III
NO
14%
2
Dejounte Murray
NO
10%
3
CJ McCollum
NO
9%
4
Walker Kessler
UTAH
9%
5
Yves Missi
NO
8%
6
Svi Mykhailiuk
UTAH
8%
7
Keyonte George
UTAH
8%
8
Daniel Theis
NO
7%
9
Drew Eubanks
UTAH
7%
10
Herbert Jones
NO
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
31%
Dunk
2%
Free Throw
19%
Jumper
29%
Layup
19%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trey Murphy III | NO | 24.9 | 5.4 | 4.3 |
| 2 | CJ McCollum | NO | 22.6 | 3.7 | 3.8 |
| 3 | Dejounte Murray | NO | 20.5 | 5.9 | 7.9 |
| 4 | Keyonte George | UTAH | 19.5 | 4.4 | 5.7 |
| 5 | Brice Sensabaugh | UTAH | 14.8 | 3.5 | 2.2 |
| 6 | Walker Kessler | UTAH | 12.3 | 11.6 | 1.6 |
| 7 | Svi Mykhailiuk | UTAH | 10.8 | 3.1 | 2.5 |
| 8 | Isaiah Collier | UTAH | 9.6 | 4.0 | 6.9 |
| 9 | Yves Missi | NO | 9.3 | 7.1 | 1.5 |
| 10 | Herbert Jones | NO | 8.8 | 3.1 | 3.9 |
| 11 | Jose Alvarado | NO | 8.1 | 1.8 | 3.3 |
| 12 | Jordan Hawkins | NO | 7.9 | 2.3 | 1.2 |
| 13 | Drew Eubanks | UTAH | 7.7 | 6.0 | 1.4 |
| 14 | Johnny Juzang | UTAH | 6.7 | 2.9 | 1.0 |
| 15 | Cody Williams | UTAH | 6.4 | 2.4 | 1.6 |
| 16 | Daniel Theis | NO | 6.4 | 5.5 | 1.3 |
| 17 | Javonte Green | NO | 6.4 | 3.8 | 1.3 |
| 18 | Kyle Filipowski | UTAH | 6.1 | 4.2 | 1.7 |
| 19 | Patty Mills | UTAH | 5.3 | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| 20 | Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | NO | 5.0 | 4.5 | 1.7 |
| 21 | Jamal Cain | NO | 4.7 | 3.3 | 1.1 |
| 22 | Elijah Harkless | UTAH | 4.3 | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| 23 | Oscar Tshiebwe | UTAH | 3.6 | 5.2 | 0.5 |
| 24 | Karlo Matkovic | NO | 2.2 | 2.3 | 0.6 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.