CHI @ POR
NBA
Moda Center
·Final
102–113
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 34 | 19 | 24 | 25 | 102 |
| POR | 22 | 31 | 34 | 26 | 113 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (POR) / 10 (CHI) games this season
CHI
away
home
POR
41%
59%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach LaVine S | 39 | 27 | 4 | 5 |
| Nikola Vucevic S | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 |
| Patrick Williams S | 26 | 15 | 3 | 1 |
| Ayo Dosunmu | 32 | 12 | 1 | 4 |
| Coby White S | 27 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| Matas Buzelis | 15 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| Jalen Smith | 13 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| Dalen Terry | 16 | 6 | 3 | 0 |
| Julian Phillips | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Talen Horton-Tucker | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Patrick Williams ·
3PT (3 pts) · 11:25 Q1
"Patrick Williams makes 25-foot three point jumper (Zach LaVine assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Shaedon Sharpe
POR
12%
2
Zach LaVine
CHI
12%
3
Deni Avdija
POR
12%
4
Nikola Vucevic
CHI
12%
5
Deandre Ayton
POR
11%
6
Toumani Camara
POR
9%
7
Coby White
CHI
9%
8
Josh Giddey
CHI
8%
9
Patrick Williams
CHI
8%
10
Jerami Grant
POR
6%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
25%
Dunk
5%
Free Throw
14%
Jumper
38%
Layup
17%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zach LaVine | CHI | 27.1 | 5.9 | 6.1 |
| 2 | Coby White | CHI | 22.4 | 4.0 | 6.0 |
| 3 | Nikola Vucevic | CHI | 22.1 | 11.4 | 3.8 |
| 4 | Deni Avdija | POR | 20.9 | 7.9 | 4.3 |
| 5 | Shaedon Sharpe | POR | 20.1 | 4.8 | 3.8 |
| 6 | Scoot Henderson | POR | 16.2 | 3.8 | 6.3 |
| 7 | Ayo Dosunmu | CHI | 14.1 | 4.7 | 5.8 |
| 8 | Toumani Camara | POR | 13.7 | 5.1 | 2.6 |
| 9 | Jerami Grant | POR | 13.3 | 4.3 | 2.3 |
| 10 | Deandre Ayton | POR | 13.2 | 10.9 | 1.8 |
| 11 | Josh Giddey | CHI | 11.4 | 8.8 | 5.7 |
| 12 | Lonzo Ball | CHI | 9.1 | 3.7 | 3.8 |
| 13 | Patrick Williams | CHI | 8.9 | 3.1 | 2.0 |
| 14 | Jalen Smith | CHI | 8.3 | 4.7 | 1.2 |
| 15 | Kris Murray | POR | 7.1 | 3.2 | 1.6 |
| 16 | Dalano Banton | POR | 6.4 | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| 17 | Donovan Clingan | POR | 5.7 | 6.0 | 1.0 |
| 18 | Jabari Walker | POR | 5.1 | 2.7 | 0.7 |
| 19 | Julian Phillips | CHI | 4.5 | 2.1 | 0.6 |
| 20 | Matas Buzelis | CHI | 4.3 | 2.8 | 0.6 |
| 21 | Duop Reath | POR | 4.2 | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 22 | Talen Horton-Tucker | CHI | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| 23 | Dalen Terry | CHI | 3.6 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| 24 | Justin Minaya | POR | 2.9 | 1.4 | 0.7 |
| 25 | Bryce McGowens | POR | 2.8 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| 26 | Rayan Rupert | POR | 2.8 | 1.4 | 0.8 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.