HOU @ SAC
NBA
Golden 1 Center
·Final
127–132
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOU | 25 | 27 | 33 | 42 | 127 |
| SAC | 26 | 35 | 29 | 42 | 132 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (SAC) / 10 (HOU) games this season
HOU
away
home
SAC
33%
67%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Green S | 34 | 28 | 5 | 4 |
| Alperen Sengun S | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 |
| Amen Thompson S | 41 | 20 | 10 | 5 |
| Tari Eason | 24 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| Dillon Brooks S | 33 | 12 | 3 | 4 |
| Jeff Green S | 23 | 10 | 3 | 2 |
| Cam Whitmore | 23 | 9 | 3 | 3 |
| Aaron Holiday | 14 | 6 | 3 | 1 |
| Steven Adams | 14 | 5 | 5 | 2 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Malik Monk ·
Layup (2 pts) · 10:31 Q1
"Malik Monk makes two point shot"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Alperen Sengun
HOU
14%
2
De'Aaron Fox
SAC
13%
3
Jalen Green
HOU
12%
4
Malik Monk
SAC
10%
5
Domantas Sabonis
SAC
9%
6
DeMar DeRozan
SAC
9%
7
Amen Thompson
HOU
9%
8
Keegan Murray
SAC
6%
9
Jabari Smith Jr.
HOU
6%
10
Dillon Brooks
HOU
6%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
1%
Dunk
9%
Free Throw
14%
Jumper
35%
Layup
41%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | De'Aaron Fox | SAC | 26.7 | 5.5 | 6.3 |
| 2 | Jalen Green | HOU | 25.3 | 4.0 | 3.2 |
| 3 | DeMar DeRozan | SAC | 23.7 | 3.8 | 4.3 |
| 4 | Alperen Sengun | HOU | 22.7 | 10.7 | 5.1 |
| 5 | Malik Monk | SAC | 22.3 | 4.1 | 6.1 |
| 6 | Domantas Sabonis | SAC | 20.7 | 14.1 | 7.7 |
| 7 | Amen Thompson | HOU | 15.9 | 10.3 | 3.1 |
| 8 | Dillon Brooks | HOU | 13.3 | 3.9 | 1.8 |
| 9 | Jabari Smith Jr. | HOU | 11.9 | 5.2 | 1.5 |
| 10 | Cam Whitmore | HOU | 11.4 | 3.8 | 1.1 |
| 11 | Keegan Murray | SAC | 11.2 | 5.5 | 1.3 |
| 12 | Tari Eason | HOU | 10.0 | 6.6 | 1.2 |
| 13 | Keon Ellis | SAC | 9.9 | 3.2 | 1.7 |
| 14 | Trey Lyles | SAC | 9.4 | 5.7 | 1.4 |
| 15 | Kevin Huerter | SAC | 6.5 | 2.5 | 1.6 |
| 16 | Devin Carter | SAC | 5.4 | 3.4 | 1.5 |
| 17 | Jae'Sean Tate | HOU | 5.3 | 2.5 | 1.0 |
| 18 | Jeff Green | HOU | 4.2 | 1.7 | 0.6 |
| 19 | Aaron Holiday | HOU | 3.9 | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 20 | Nate Williams | HOU | 3.8 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| 21 | Jae Crowder | SAC | 3.8 | 2.0 | 0.6 |
| 22 | Steven Adams | HOU | 3.4 | 5.4 | 0.7 |
| 23 | Reed Sheppard | HOU | 3.3 | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| 24 | Isaac Jones | SAC | 3.0 | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| 25 | Alex Len | SAC | 2.9 | 2.4 | 0.8 |
| 26 | Doug McDermott | SAC | 2.7 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| 27 | Colby Jones | SAC | 2.7 | 1.4 | 0.5 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.