NBA games

NY @ PHI

NBA Xfinity Mobile Arena ·Final
125–119
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4Q5T
NY3030252416125
PHI2126382410119

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (PHI) / 10 (NY) games this season
NY away
home PHI
49% 51%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Jalen Brunson S 45 38 5 4
Mikal Bridges S 43 23 2 2
OG Anunoby S 45 17 4 4
Miles McBride 22 13 3 3
Josh Hart S 49 10 17 12
Precious Achiuwa 30 10 6 1
Jericho Sims S 23 8 7 0
Cameron Payne 7 6 1 2
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Tyrese Maxey S 46 33 6 6
Paul George S 43 26 3 6
Kelly Oubre Jr. S 45 16 10 1
Eric Gordon S 21 14 1 2
Justin Edwards 35 10 2 3
Guerschon Yabusele S 38 9 5 6
Jeff Dowtin Jr. 14 7 1 3
Adem Bona 15 2 6 0
Ricky Council IV 7 2 1 0

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Mikal Bridges · 3PT (3 pts) · 10:55 Q1
"Mikal Bridges makes 28-foot three point shot (Josh Hart assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Jalen Brunson NY
12%
2 Josh Hart NY
11%
3 Mikal Bridges NY
10%
4 OG Anunoby NY
10%
5 Tyrese Maxey PHI
10%
6 Kelly Oubre Jr. PHI
10%
7 Paul George PHI
9%
8 Ricky Council IV PHI
8%
9 Reggie Jackson PHI
7%
10 Guerschon Yabusele PHI
6%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
3%
Dunk
1%
Free Throw
75%
Jumper
14%
Layup
7%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Jalen Brunson NY 28.7 3.6 7.4
2 Tyrese Maxey PHI 25.7 3.3 7.6
3 Paul George PHI 20.2 6.2 4.5
4 Mikal Bridges NY 17.3 3.5 2.9
5 Josh Hart NY 15.8 11.9 6.3
6 OG Anunoby NY 14.5 4.0 1.8
7 Kelly Oubre Jr. PHI 13.0 5.9 1.9
8 Guerschon Yabusele PHI 11.9 5.6 1.9
9 Miles McBride NY 7.5 2.7 3.1
10 Eric Gordon PHI 6.8 2.0 1.1
11 Cameron Payne NY 6.4 1.6 1.9
12 Ricky Council IV PHI 6.1 2.5 1.2
13 Justin Edwards PHI 5.9 2.3 1.0
14 Precious Achiuwa NY 5.3 3.6 0.7
15 Reggie Jackson PHI 5.1 1.8 1.3
16 Jeff Dowtin Jr. PHI 4.6 1.9 1.2
17 Landry Shamet NY 3.9 1.4 0.8
18 Andre Drummond PHI 3.9 5.7 0.6
19 Adem Bona PHI 3.6 3.0 0.7
20 Ariel Hukporti NY 2.7 2.3 0.7
21 Pete Nance PHI 2.7 1.5 0.6
22 Matt Ryan NY 2.6 1.0 0.6
23 Jacob Toppin NY 1.8 1.1 0.5
24 Tyler Kolek NY 1.8 0.7 0.7
25 Jericho Sims NY 1.5 2.1 0.4

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.