NBA games

BKN @ POR

NBA Moda Center ·Final
132–114
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
BKN40263234132
POR30312726114

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (POR) / 10 (BKN) games this season
BKN away
home POR
48% 52%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Cameron Johnson S 27 24 1 2
Noah Clowney S 29 20 5 2
Keon Johnson S 29 20 3 4
Jalen Wilson 23 14 4 1
Ziaire Williams S 28 13 7 1
D'Angelo Russell 21 13 3 9
Tosan Evbuomwan 18 10 4 1
Day'Ron Sharpe 18 8 7 1
Ben Simmons S 26 5 9 11
Tyrese Martin 20 5 1 3
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Scoot Henderson S 39 39 4 6
Toumani Camara S 38 23 5 2
Shaedon Sharpe S 35 21 2 2
Anfernee Simons S 32 11 1 4
Dalano Banton 19 10 0 1
Kris Murray 23 4 4 3
Donovan Clingan 22 4 14 2
Deandre Ayton S 24 2 8 0
Duop Reath 1 0 0 0
Jabari Walker 5 0 0 0

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Noah Clowney · 3PT (3 pts) · 11:32 Q1
"Noah Clowney makes 28-foot three point jumper (Keon Johnson assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Shaedon Sharpe POR
11%
2 Deni Avdija POR
9%
3 Keon Johnson BKN
9%
4 Deandre Ayton POR
9%
5 Anfernee Simons POR
8%
6 Ben Simmons BKN
8%
7 Donovan Clingan POR
7%
8 D'Angelo Russell BKN
7%
9 Noah Clowney BKN
7%
10 Toumani Camara POR
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
32%
Dunk
4%
Free Throw
16%
Jumper
20%
Layup
28%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Anfernee Simons POR 22.3 3.4 5.7
2 Cameron Johnson BKN 21.9 3.8 3.6
3 Shaedon Sharpe POR 20.9 4.3 4.0
4 Deni Avdija POR 20.3 7.7 4.3
5 Keon Johnson BKN 15.7 4.3 3.3
6 Deandre Ayton POR 13.5 10.2 1.8
7 Scoot Henderson POR 12.9 3.2 5.4
8 D'Angelo Russell BKN 12.8 2.9 5.2
9 Ziaire Williams BKN 12.0 5.4 2.4
10 Noah Clowney BKN 12.0 4.1 1.6
11 Jerami Grant POR 11.1 3.5 2.1
12 Toumani Camara POR 10.9 6.0 2.0
13 Tyrese Martin BKN 10.5 4.7 2.3
14 Jalen Wilson BKN 10.2 2.9 1.9
15 Ben Simmons BKN 10.1 4.7 7.2
16 Day'Ron Sharpe BKN 7.4 6.1 1.7
17 Tosan Evbuomwan BKN 6.7 3.0 1.0
18 Dalano Banton POR 5.7 1.6 2.1
19 Kris Murray POR 5.2 2.4 1.3
20 Donovan Clingan POR 5.2 5.1 0.9
21 Jabari Walker POR 3.8 2.3 0.7
22 Reece Beekman BKN 3.6 1.3 1.1
23 Duop Reath POR 3.5 1.4 0.6
24 Dariq Whitehead BKN 2.9 0.9 0.3
25 Rayan Rupert POR 2.2 1.0 0.9
26 Justin Minaya POR 2.1 1.1 0.6

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.