SAC @ MIL
NBA
Fiserv Forum
·Final
115–130
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAC | 26 | 28 | 28 | 33 | 115 |
| MIL | 47 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 130 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (MIL) / 10 (SAC) games this season
SAC
away
home
MIL
46%
54%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan S | 36 | 28 | 6 | 4 |
| De'Aaron Fox S | 38 | 20 | 11 | 6 |
| Keon Ellis S | 31 | 18 | 4 | 1 |
| Domantas Sabonis S | 36 | 16 | 10 | 9 |
| Keegan Murray S | 36 | 11 | 7 | 1 |
| Kevin Huerter | 18 | 7 | 1 | 1 |
| Trey Lyles | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| Devin Carter | 14 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Alex Len | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Giannis Antetokounmpo ·
Jumper (2 pts) · 11:01 Q1
"Giannis Antetokounmpo makes 16-foot pullup jump shot (Taurean Prince assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
De'Aaron Fox
SAC
17%
2
Giannis Antetokounmpo
MIL
17%
3
Brook Lopez
MIL
12%
4
DeMar DeRozan
SAC
12%
5
Domantas Sabonis
SAC
11%
6
Damian Lillard
MIL
9%
7
Keegan Murray
SAC
8%
8
Andre Jackson Jr.
MIL
7%
9
Taurean Prince
MIL
6%
10
Bobby Portis
MIL
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
7%
Dunk
2%
Free Throw
50%
Jumper
25%
Layup
16%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Giannis Antetokounmpo | MIL | 28.8 | 13.3 | 7.3 |
| 2 | De'Aaron Fox | SAC | 26.7 | 4.9 | 6.3 |
| 3 | Damian Lillard | MIL | 23.2 | 4.0 | 6.5 |
| 4 | DeMar DeRozan | SAC | 21.1 | 3.7 | 3.9 |
| 5 | Domantas Sabonis | SAC | 17.8 | 12.6 | 7.9 |
| 6 | Brook Lopez | MIL | 13.9 | 4.7 | 1.9 |
| 7 | Bobby Portis | MIL | 13.6 | 8.4 | 2.5 |
| 8 | Keegan Murray | SAC | 10.9 | 5.7 | 1.3 |
| 9 | Trey Lyles | SAC | 9.8 | 6.2 | 1.4 |
| 10 | Keon Ellis | SAC | 9.0 | 3.0 | 1.7 |
| 11 | AJ Green | MIL | 8.4 | 2.5 | 1.8 |
| 12 | Taurean Prince | MIL | 6.9 | 2.8 | 1.9 |
| 13 | Kevin Huerter | SAC | 6.6 | 2.9 | 1.7 |
| 14 | Devin Carter | SAC | 5.9 | 4.0 | 1.6 |
| 15 | Ryan Rollins | MIL | 5.1 | 2.3 | 1.1 |
| 16 | Pat Connaughton | MIL | 5.0 | 3.2 | 1.2 |
| 17 | Andre Jackson Jr. | MIL | 4.8 | 2.8 | 1.1 |
| 18 | Delon Wright | MIL | 4.2 | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| 19 | Jae Crowder | SAC | 3.0 | 1.9 | 0.5 |
| 20 | Doug McDermott | SAC | 3.0 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| 21 | MarJon Beauchamp | MIL | 2.9 | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 22 | Isaac Jones | SAC | 2.2 | 1.3 | 0.3 |
| 23 | Liam Robbins | MIL | 2.2 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| 24 | Stanley Umude | MIL | 2.2 | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| 25 | Alex Len | SAC | 1.8 | 2.1 | 0.6 |
| 26 | Jordan McLaughlin | SAC | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 27 | Colby Jones | SAC | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| 28 | Chris Livingston | MIL | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.