NO @ CHI
NBA
United Center
·Final
119–113
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 29 | 24 | 33 | 33 | 119 |
| CHI | 33 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 113 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (CHI) / 10 (NO) games this season
NO
away
home
CHI
47%
53%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Murphy III S | 37 | 32 | 6 | 4 |
| Zion Williamson S | 24 | 21 | 7 | 9 |
| Dejounte Murray S | 34 | 15 | 7 | 7 |
| Jose Alvarado | 16 | 12 | 3 | 3 |
| Jordan Hawkins | 20 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| CJ McCollum S | 29 | 8 | 4 | 5 |
| Brandon Boston | 9 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| Javonte Green | 29 | 7 | 4 | 1 |
| Daniel Theis | 25 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| Yves Missi S | 17 | 4 | 7 | 0 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Nikola Vucevic ·
Layup (2 pts) · 11:45 Q1
"Nikola Vucevic makes 1-foot layup (Josh Giddey assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Trey Murphy III
NO
11%
2
Zion Williamson
NO
11%
3
Zach LaVine
CHI
11%
4
Dejounte Murray
NO
11%
5
Nikola Vucevic
CHI
10%
6
Coby White
CHI
9%
7
Yves Missi
NO
8%
8
Josh Giddey
CHI
8%
9
CJ McCollum
NO
7%
10
Patrick Williams
CHI
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
28%
Dunk
3%
Free Throw
9%
Jumper
37%
Layup
23%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zach LaVine | CHI | 26.8 | 5.7 | 5.6 |
| 2 | Trey Murphy III | NO | 24.3 | 5.0 | 4.1 |
| 3 | CJ McCollum | NO | 23.3 | 3.7 | 4.0 |
| 4 | Zion Williamson | NO | 22.7 | 7.7 | 5.4 |
| 5 | Coby White | CHI | 21.6 | 3.6 | 5.5 |
| 6 | Dejounte Murray | NO | 20.8 | 6.4 | 8.1 |
| 7 | Nikola Vucevic | CHI | 19.5 | 10.6 | 3.6 |
| 8 | Josh Giddey | CHI | 14.9 | 10.1 | 6.4 |
| 9 | Jose Alvarado | NO | 12.0 | 2.2 | 3.7 |
| 10 | Patrick Williams | CHI | 10.1 | 3.5 | 2.4 |
| 11 | Yves Missi | NO | 9.1 | 7.6 | 2.2 |
| 12 | Jalen Smith | CHI | 8.6 | 5.6 | 1.3 |
| 13 | Brandon Boston | NO | 8.0 | 3.0 | 1.3 |
| 14 | Lonzo Ball | CHI | 7.6 | 3.1 | 3.4 |
| 15 | Jordan Hawkins | NO | 7.0 | 2.1 | 1.2 |
| 16 | Javonte Green | NO | 6.1 | 3.6 | 1.1 |
| 17 | Daniel Theis | NO | 6.0 | 5.3 | 1.3 |
| 18 | Talen Horton-Tucker | CHI | 5.3 | 2.2 | 1.5 |
| 19 | Antonio Reeves | NO | 4.8 | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 20 | Matas Buzelis | CHI | 4.7 | 2.7 | 0.7 |
| 21 | Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | NO | 3.9 | 3.4 | 1.2 |
| 22 | Dalen Terry | CHI | 3.9 | 1.7 | 1.4 |
| 23 | Julian Phillips | CHI | 3.8 | 1.7 | 0.6 |
| 24 | Jevon Carter | CHI | 3.7 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 25 | Chris Duarte | CHI | 2.4 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| 26 | Karlo Matkovic | NO | 1.9 | 2.1 | 0.4 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.