NBA games

OKC @ PHI

NBA Xfinity Mobile Arena ·Final
118–102
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
OKC37212931118
PHI21223821102

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (PHI) / 10 (OKC) games this season
OKC away
home PHI
63% 37%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander S 33 32 3 9
Jalen Williams S 34 24 4 6
Cason Wallace S 34 18 5 4
Isaiah Joe 21 10 1 1
Isaiah Hartenstein S 31 9 16 3
Luguentz Dort S 27 8 2 1
Aaron Wiggins 16 6 3 3
Jaylin Williams 13 5 1 3
Alex Caruso 18 3 1 1
Branden Carlson 3 3 0 0
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Justin Edwards 35 25 6 4
Jeff Dowtin Jr. 29 18 5 3
Guerschon Yabusele S 31 17 7 4
Ricky Council IV S 35 13 4 4
Eric Gordon S 28 10 3 1
Kelly Oubre Jr. S 30 8 4 2
Adem Bona 17 7 3 0
Reggie Jackson S 17 4 2 4
Pete Nance 18 0 1 1

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Jalen Williams · Free Throw (1 pts) · 11:04 Q1
"Jalen Williams makes free throw 1 of 2"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Kelly Oubre Jr. PHI
12%
2 Jalen Williams OKC
11%
3 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OKC
10%
4 Isaiah Hartenstein OKC
10%
5 Tyrese Maxey PHI
10%
6 Paul George PHI
10%
7 Luguentz Dort OKC
9%
8 Caleb Martin PHI
7%
9 Guerschon Yabusele PHI
7%
10 Eric Gordon PHI
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
14%
Dunk
14%
Free Throw
7%
Jumper
32%
Layup
33%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OKC 30.2 5.4 6.7
2 Tyrese Maxey PHI 26.2 3.4 7.3
3 Paul George PHI 19.9 6.4 4.4
4 Jalen Williams OKC 19.5 5.2 6.1
5 Kelly Oubre Jr. PHI 14.4 5.7 1.8
6 Aaron Wiggins OKC 11.9 4.0 1.7
7 Isaiah Hartenstein OKC 11.5 10.7 4.5
8 Guerschon Yabusele PHI 11.5 5.5 1.5
9 Cason Wallace OKC 9.7 2.8 2.8
10 Caleb Martin PHI 9.7 4.3 1.7
11 Luguentz Dort OKC 9.4 3.7 1.6
12 Isaiah Joe OKC 8.2 2.7 1.4
13 Eric Gordon PHI 6.4 2.0 1.1
14 Kenrich Williams OKC 6.3 2.7 1.1
15 Ricky Council IV PHI 5.7 2.5 0.7
16 Alex Caruso OKC 5.3 2.3 1.9
17 Jaylin Williams OKC 5.1 4.1 1.7
18 Reggie Jackson PHI 4.7 2.0 1.0
19 Justin Edwards PHI 4.4 2.1 0.7
20 Alex Ducas OKC 3.4 1.3 0.7
21 Jeff Dowtin Jr. PHI 3.2 1.6 1.0
22 Adem Bona PHI 3.1 2.9 0.6
23 Branden Carlson OKC 2.3 1.6 0.6
24 Pete Nance PHI 1.4 1.0 0.4

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.