NBA games

BKN @ UTAH

NBA Delta Center ·Final
111–112
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4Q5T
BKN272130249111
UTAH2623361710112

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (UTAH) / 10 (BKN) games this season
BKN away
home UTAH
25% 75%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Tosan Evbuomwan 24 22 5 1
Ziaire Williams S 32 19 6 2
Ben Simmons S 32 14 6 9
Nic Claxton S 37 14 12 4
Day'Ron Sharpe 16 12 4 0
Tyrese Martin 35 11 8 3
Keon Johnson S 21 8 4 3
Jalen Wilson 24 7 3 1
Reece Beekman 12 4 1 2
Noah Clowney S 32 0 5 1
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Isaiah Collier S 37 23 7 7
Collin Sexton S 38 21 3 5
Svi Mykhailiuk 17 16 1 3
Brice Sensabaugh 27 16 1 3
Kyle Filipowski 21 12 5 2
Drew Eubanks S 31 8 9 2
Micah Potter S 20 5 5 0
Cody Williams S 37 5 2 2
Oscar Tshiebwe 18 3 5 0
Elijah Harkless 19 3 3 1

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Keon Johnson · Jumper (2 pts) · 11:22 Q1
"Keon Johnson makes 13-foot driving floating jump shot (Nic Claxton assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Collin Sexton UTAH
19%
2 Walker Kessler UTAH
11%
3 Keon Johnson BKN
11%
4 Nic Claxton BKN
11%
5 Ben Simmons BKN
9%
6 Ziaire Williams BKN
8%
7 Isaiah Collier UTAH
8%
8 Cameron Johnson BKN
8%
9 Noah Clowney BKN
7%
10 Micah Potter UTAH
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
19%
Dunk
7%
Free Throw
15%
Jumper
24%
Layup
35%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Collin Sexton UTAH 22.9 3.9 6.1
2 Cameron Johnson BKN 21.5 3.8 3.9
3 Keon Johnson BKN 16.4 4.5 3.3
4 Noah Clowney BKN 12.8 4.1 1.8
5 Walker Kessler UTAH 11.9 11.6 1.7
6 Nic Claxton BKN 11.0 8.0 1.9
7 Tyrese Martin BKN 10.9 4.6 2.4
8 Ziaire Williams BKN 10.6 4.7 2.1
9 Jalen Wilson BKN 10.5 3.0 2.0
10 Brice Sensabaugh UTAH 9.6 3.5 1.6
11 Svi Mykhailiuk UTAH 9.3 2.6 2.3
12 Ben Simmons BKN 9.0 4.0 7.0
13 Isaiah Collier UTAH 7.1 3.5 5.5
14 Day'Ron Sharpe BKN 7.0 6.4 1.7
15 Drew Eubanks UTAH 5.9 4.8 1.2
16 Tosan Evbuomwan BKN 5.8 2.8 0.9
17 Cody Williams UTAH 5.8 2.5 1.2
18 Kyle Filipowski UTAH 5.6 4.5 1.7
19 Patty Mills UTAH 5.6 1.7 1.6
20 Elijah Harkless UTAH 4.3 2.5 0.7
21 Micah Potter UTAH 4.2 2.3 1.0
22 Reece Beekman BKN 3.4 1.4 1.0
23 Dariq Whitehead BKN 3.2 0.9 0.4

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.