NO @ BOS
NBA
TD Garden
·Final
119–120
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 35 | 26 | 27 | 31 | 119 |
| BOS | 29 | 33 | 28 | 30 | 120 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (BOS) / 10 (NO) games this season
NO
away
home
BOS
31%
69%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Murphy III S | 39 | 30 | 6 | 4 |
| Dejounte Murray S | 35 | 26 | 9 | 8 |
| Zion Williamson S | 28 | 16 | 7 | 3 |
| CJ McCollum S | 38 | 13 | 4 | 5 |
| Javonte Green | 20 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| Jose Alvarado | 12 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| Yves Missi S | 26 | 7 | 4 | 4 |
| Daniel Theis | 22 | 6 | 6 | 0 |
| Jordan Hawkins | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Brandon Boston | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Dejounte Murray ·
3PT (3 pts) · 11:33 Q1
"Dejounte Murray makes 24-foot three point shot (Trey Murphy III assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Jaylen Brown
BOS
11%
2
Kristaps Porzingis
BOS
10%
3
Zion Williamson
NO
10%
4
Dejounte Murray
NO
9%
5
Jayson Tatum
BOS
9%
6
Yves Missi
NO
9%
7
Trey Murphy III
NO
8%
8
CJ McCollum
NO
7%
9
Jordan Hawkins
NO
7%
10
Derrick White
BOS
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
12%
Dunk
5%
Free Throw
14%
Jumper
44%
Layup
26%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jayson Tatum | BOS | 26.6 | 10.0 | 5.9 |
| 2 | Jaylen Brown | BOS | 25.0 | 5.7 | 5.5 |
| 3 | Zion Williamson | NO | 22.5 | 7.8 | 4.7 |
| 4 | CJ McCollum | NO | 21.7 | 3.7 | 4.0 |
| 5 | Trey Murphy III | NO | 21.6 | 4.7 | 3.2 |
| 6 | Dejounte Murray | NO | 18.9 | 6.2 | 7.9 |
| 7 | Kristaps Porzingis | BOS | 17.9 | 6.7 | 2.0 |
| 8 | Derrick White | BOS | 16.6 | 3.9 | 3.5 |
| 9 | Payton Pritchard | BOS | 11.8 | 3.8 | 3.4 |
| 10 | Jrue Holiday | BOS | 11.7 | 4.0 | 3.5 |
| 11 | Jose Alvarado | NO | 11.4 | 2.3 | 3.9 |
| 12 | Yves Missi | NO | 9.7 | 7.9 | 1.7 |
| 13 | Al Horford | BOS | 9.2 | 5.5 | 1.9 |
| 14 | Brandon Boston | NO | 8.3 | 3.0 | 1.1 |
| 15 | Jordan Hawkins | NO | 7.8 | 2.2 | 1.1 |
| 16 | Sam Hauser | BOS | 6.1 | 2.2 | 1.3 |
| 17 | Luke Kornet | BOS | 5.7 | 6.2 | 1.2 |
| 18 | Javonte Green | NO | 5.6 | 3.4 | 1.0 |
| 19 | Daniel Theis | NO | 5.4 | 5.0 | 1.2 |
| 20 | Neemias Queta | BOS | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.7 |
| 21 | Antonio Reeves | NO | 4.8 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| 22 | Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | NO | 4.4 | 3.6 | 1.3 |
| 23 | Xavier Tillman | BOS | 2.6 | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| 24 | Jaden Springer | BOS | 2.6 | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| 25 | Jordan Walsh | BOS | 2.6 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| 26 | Karlo Matkovic | NO | 1.9 | 2.1 | 0.4 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.