NBA games

CHA @ LAC

NBA Intuit Dome ·Postponed
Tip-off

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (LAC) / 10 (CHA) games this season
CHA away
home LAC
26% 74%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Box score available after tip-off.

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Ivica Zubac LAC
26%
2 Norman Powell LAC
25%
3 James Harden LAC
19%
4 Derrick Jones Jr. LAC
17%
5 Kris Dunn LAC
12%
6 Amir Coffey LAC
0%
7 Bones Hyland LAC
0%
8 Nicolas Batum LAC
0%
9 Mo Bamba LAC
0%
10 Terance Mann LAC
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
1%
Dunk
26%
Free Throw
12%
Jumper
32%
Layup
28%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 James Harden LAC 23.4 4.6 8.3
2 Norman Powell LAC 22.7 4.3 2.8
3 Ivica Zubac LAC 15.6 12.1 2.8
4 Amir Coffey LAC 11.0 2.8 1.1
5 Kevin Porter Jr. LAC 9.6 3.7 4.0
6 Derrick Jones Jr. LAC 9.0 3.4 1.2
7 Kris Dunn LAC 7.3 3.1 2.8
8 Bones Hyland LAC 7.0 1.6 1.8
9 Terance Mann LAC 6.7 1.8 1.5
10 Nicolas Batum LAC 3.9 2.7 1.5
11 Jordan Miller LAC 3.7 1.8 1.3
12 Mo Bamba LAC 3.5 3.9 0.7
13 Kobe Brown LAC 3.4 2.2 0.7

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.