NBA games

SA @ LAL

NBA crypto.com Arena ·Postponed
Tip-off

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (LAL) / 10 (SA) games this season
SA away
home LAL
51% 49%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Box score available after tip-off.

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Devin Vassell SA
24%
2 Victor Wembanyama SA
22%
3 Stephon Castle SA
19%
4 Harrison Barnes SA
18%
5 Chris Paul SA
17%
6 Keldon Johnson SA
0%
7 Julian Champagnie SA
0%
8 Zach Collins SA
0%
9 Sandro Mamukelashvili SA
0%
10 Charles Bassey SA
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
23%
Dunk
3%
Free Throw
5%
Jumper
43%
Layup
26%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Victor Wembanyama SA 29.8 11.5 4.0
2 Devin Vassell SA 14.0 5.6 3.6
3 Keldon Johnson SA 11.2 4.7 1.3
4 Harrison Barnes SA 11.0 2.9 1.3
5 Chris Paul SA 9.8 4.4 7.0
6 Stephon Castle SA 8.4 2.3 3.2
7 Julian Champagnie SA 8.3 3.1 1.2
8 Tre Jones SA 4.2 2.2 4.1
9 Sandro Mamukelashvili SA 3.9 2.4 0.6
10 Charles Bassey SA 3.8 3.9 0.5
11 Blake Wesley SA 3.2 1.2 2.0
12 Zach Collins SA 2.8 2.3 0.9
13 Malaki Branham SA 2.8 1.2 0.9

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.