NO @ PHI
NBA
Xfinity Mobile Arena
·Final
123–115
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 28 | 25 | 34 | 36 | 123 |
| PHI | 24 | 23 | 31 | 37 | 115 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (PHI) / 10 (NO) games this season
NO
away
home
PHI
44%
56%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ McCollum S | 35 | 38 | 3 | 3 |
| Jordan Hawkins S | 31 | 21 | 2 | 2 |
| Dejounte Murray S | 32 | 17 | 10 | 6 |
| Jose Alvarado | 23 | 13 | 2 | 9 |
| Daniel Theis | 18 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| Brandon Boston | 23 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| Yves Missi S | 30 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| Javonte Green S | 26 | 2 | 7 | 6 |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | 22 | 0 | 7 | 5 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Paul George ·
Layup (2 pts) · 9:56 Q1
"Paul George makes two point shot"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Kelly Oubre Jr.
PHI
14%
2
Dejounte Murray
NO
12%
3
CJ McCollum
NO
11%
4
Paul George
PHI
11%
5
Tyrese Maxey
PHI
11%
6
Yves Missi
NO
11%
7
Eric Gordon
PHI
8%
8
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl
NO
7%
9
Guerschon Yabusele
PHI
7%
10
Caleb Martin
PHI
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
17%
Dunk
16%
Free Throw
6%
Jumper
33%
Layup
27%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tyrese Maxey | PHI | 25.6 | 3.4 | 7.0 |
| 2 | CJ McCollum | NO | 23.4 | 4.1 | 4.1 |
| 3 | Dejounte Murray | NO | 19.2 | 6.3 | 8.6 |
| 4 | Paul George | PHI | 17.6 | 5.9 | 4.4 |
| 5 | Kelly Oubre Jr. | PHI | 15.3 | 7.0 | 2.4 |
| 6 | Jose Alvarado | NO | 12.6 | 2.8 | 4.0 |
| 7 | Guerschon Yabusele | PHI | 12.0 | 5.3 | 1.9 |
| 8 | Caleb Martin | PHI | 11.0 | 4.5 | 2.0 |
| 9 | Yves Missi | NO | 10.2 | 8.1 | 2.0 |
| 10 | Brandon Boston | NO | 8.0 | 3.1 | 1.3 |
| 11 | Jordan Hawkins | NO | 7.7 | 2.3 | 1.1 |
| 12 | Ricky Council IV | PHI | 6.1 | 2.5 | 0.9 |
| 13 | Eric Gordon | PHI | 5.8 | 1.5 | 1.1 |
| 14 | Javonte Green | NO | 5.6 | 3.0 | 0.9 |
| 15 | Antonio Reeves | NO | 5.5 | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 16 | Daniel Theis | NO | 5.1 | 5.1 | 1.5 |
| 17 | Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | NO | 4.9 | 3.6 | 1.2 |
| 18 | Andre Drummond | PHI | 4.6 | 6.4 | 0.7 |
| 19 | Reggie Jackson | PHI | 4.2 | 1.7 | 1.2 |
| 20 | Justin Edwards | PHI | 4.2 | 2.1 | 0.8 |
| 21 | Jeff Dowtin Jr. | PHI | 4.0 | 1.7 | 1.1 |
| 22 | Jamal Cain | NO | 3.7 | 2.7 | 0.7 |
| 23 | Adem Bona | PHI | 3.4 | 3.4 | 0.7 |
| 24 | Karlo Matkovic | NO | 2.6 | 2.6 | 0.6 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.