MIL @ ORL
NBA
Kia Center
·Final
109–106
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIL | 29 | 21 | 28 | 31 | 109 |
| ORL | 31 | 20 | 30 | 25 | 106 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (ORL) / 10 (MIL) games this season
MIL
away
home
ORL
87%
13%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo S | 37 | 41 | 14 | 4 |
| Damian Lillard S | 40 | 29 | 4 | 7 |
| Khris Middleton | 23 | 11 | 3 | 4 |
| Bobby Portis | 25 | 11 | 7 | 1 |
| Brook Lopez S | 34 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| Taurean Prince S | 26 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| Gary Trent Jr. | 24 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| AJ Green | 19 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Andre Jackson Jr. S | 13 | 0 | 5 | 1 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Taurean Prince ·
3PT (3 pts) · 11:17 Q1
"Taurean Prince makes 25-foot three point jumper (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Giannis Antetokounmpo
MIL
14%
2
Paolo Banchero
ORL
12%
3
Brook Lopez
MIL
10%
4
Goga Bitadze
ORL
9%
5
Damian Lillard
MIL
9%
6
Tristan da Silva
ORL
9%
7
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
ORL
8%
8
Cole Anthony
ORL
8%
9
Andre Jackson Jr.
MIL
7%
10
Taurean Prince
MIL
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
0%
Dunk
4%
Free Throw
80%
Jumper
5%
Layup
12%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Giannis Antetokounmpo | MIL | 31.8 | 13.3 | 6.5 |
| 2 | Paolo Banchero | ORL | 24.7 | 7.6 | 5.5 |
| 3 | Damian Lillard | MIL | 23.2 | 4.3 | 6.8 |
| 4 | Bobby Portis | MIL | 16.4 | 8.3 | 3.3 |
| 5 | Khris Middleton | MIL | 14.2 | 4.8 | 4.4 |
| 6 | Brook Lopez | MIL | 14.1 | 4.9 | 1.8 |
| 7 | Cole Anthony | ORL | 13.4 | 4.2 | 4.1 |
| 8 | Goga Bitadze | ORL | 12.7 | 10.4 | 3.5 |
| 9 | Tristan da Silva | ORL | 12.3 | 5.4 | 2.5 |
| 10 | Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | ORL | 12.2 | 3.0 | 2.5 |
| 11 | Anthony Black | ORL | 10.1 | 2.9 | 2.6 |
| 12 | Wendell Carter Jr. | ORL | 9.5 | 5.4 | 1.7 |
| 13 | Gary Trent Jr. | MIL | 9.4 | 3.0 | 1.3 |
| 14 | AJ Green | MIL | 8.6 | 2.3 | 1.9 |
| 15 | Taurean Prince | MIL | 7.1 | 3.0 | 1.8 |
| 16 | Trevelin Queen | ORL | 6.4 | 2.2 | 1.9 |
| 17 | Jett Howard | ORL | 6.4 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| 18 | Ryan Rollins | MIL | 5.9 | 2.6 | 1.3 |
| 19 | Jonathan Isaac | ORL | 5.4 | 4.9 | 1.1 |
| 20 | Caleb Houstan | ORL | 5.4 | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| 21 | Andre Jackson Jr. | MIL | 4.6 | 2.9 | 1.4 |
| 22 | Pat Connaughton | MIL | 4.3 | 2.5 | 1.1 |
| 23 | Cory Joseph | ORL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1.1 |
| 24 | Delon Wright | MIL | 3.6 | 1.9 | 1.5 |
| 25 | MarJon Beauchamp | MIL | 2.5 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 26 | Liam Robbins | MIL | 2.5 | 1.6 | 0.5 |
| 27 | Stanley Umude | MIL | 2.3 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.