NBA games

CHA @ LAL

NBA crypto.com Arena ·Postponed
Tip-off

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (LAL) / 10 (CHA) games this season
CHA away
home LAL
37% 63%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Box score available after tip-off.

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Miles Bridges CHA
13%
2 Brandon Miller CHA
13%
3 Anthony Davis LAL
13%
4 Mark Williams CHA
13%
5 Austin Reaves LAL
12%
6 LeBron James LAL
10%
7 Rui Hachimura LAL
8%
8 Max Christie LAL
7%
9 Josh Green CHA
6%
10 LaMelo Ball CHA
4%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
20%
Dunk
5%
Free Throw
15%
Jumper
38%
Layup
21%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 LaMelo Ball CHA 28.2 6.0 8.7
2 LeBron James LAL 26.1 6.8 8.7
3 Anthony Davis LAL 24.1 13.7 4.3
4 Austin Reaves LAL 22.4 5.5 7.8
5 Miles Bridges CHA 22.1 8.7 4.5
6 Brandon Miller CHA 21.4 4.6 3.9
7 Mark Williams CHA 13.3 8.8 2.2
8 Max Christie LAL 12.6 3.3 1.9
9 Rui Hachimura LAL 12.3 4.6 1.6
10 Dorian Finney-Smith LAL 9.3 4.1 1.4
11 Cody Martin CHA 9.3 4.5 2.3
12 Josh Green CHA 7.6 3.2 1.4
13 Dalton Knecht LAL 7.4 2.4 1.1
14 Nick Richards CHA 7.2 5.6 1.1
15 Vasilije Micic CHA 7.0 1.9 3.4
16 Gabe Vincent LAL 6.4 2.4 1.7
17 Tidjane Salaun CHA 5.7 4.1 1.5
18 Nick Smith Jr. CHA 5.6 2.0 1.3
19 Jaxson Hayes LAL 5.3 4.5 0.7
20 Bronny James LAL 3.3 1.6 0.7

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.