MIA @ UTAH
NBA
Delta Center
·Final
97–92
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIA | 20 | 26 | 22 | 29 | 97 |
| UTAH | 27 | 14 | 29 | 22 | 92 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (UTAH) / 10 (MIA) games this season
MIA
away
home
UTAH
31%
69%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro S | 37 | 23 | 7 | 5 |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. S | 36 | 20 | 7 | 7 |
| Bam Adebayo S | 29 | 15 | 7 | 3 |
| Nikola Jovic | 27 | 11 | 6 | 5 |
| Terry Rozier S | 33 | 9 | 3 | 1 |
| Kel'el Ware | 19 | 8 | 7 | 1 |
| Alec Burks | 18 | 6 | 7 | 1 |
| Haywood Highsmith S | 22 | 5 | 2 | 2 |
| Duncan Robinson | 18 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Jaime Jaquez Jr. ·
3PT (3 pts) · 11:34 Q1
"Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes 23-foot three point jumper (Bam Adebayo assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Tyler Herro
MIA
12%
2
Bam Adebayo
MIA
11%
3
Jimmy Butler III
MIA
10%
4
Collin Sexton
UTAH
9%
5
Walker Kessler
UTAH
8%
6
Lauri Markkanen
UTAH
8%
7
Keyonte George
UTAH
6%
8
Terry Rozier
MIA
6%
9
Isaiah Collier
UTAH
6%
10
Haywood Highsmith
MIA
6%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
26%
Dunk
5%
Free Throw
10%
Jumper
39%
Layup
20%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tyler Herro | MIA | 23.7 | 5.3 | 6.2 |
| 2 | Collin Sexton | UTAH | 23.4 | 4.2 | 6.4 |
| 3 | Lauri Markkanen | UTAH | 20.9 | 5.7 | 2.0 |
| 4 | Bam Adebayo | MIA | 18.3 | 9.2 | 4.1 |
| 5 | Keyonte George | UTAH | 17.6 | 4.3 | 5.7 |
| 6 | Jimmy Butler III | MIA | 16.7 | 5.6 | 4.6 |
| 7 | Terry Rozier | MIA | 14.0 | 4.7 | 3.0 |
| 8 | Nikola Jovic | MIA | 12.5 | 3.7 | 3.5 |
| 9 | Duncan Robinson | MIA | 11.6 | 2.7 | 3.9 |
| 10 | Jaime Jaquez Jr. | MIA | 11.2 | 4.4 | 3.6 |
| 11 | Walker Kessler | UTAH | 10.8 | 11.6 | 2.0 |
| 12 | Haywood Highsmith | MIA | 8.4 | 3.9 | 1.7 |
| 13 | Kel'el Ware | MIA | 8.3 | 4.2 | 1.0 |
| 14 | Johnny Juzang | UTAH | 7.6 | 3.3 | 1.2 |
| 15 | Svi Mykhailiuk | UTAH | 7.5 | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| 16 | Alec Burks | MIA | 6.3 | 2.0 | 0.9 |
| 17 | Isaiah Collier | UTAH | 5.9 | 3.6 | 4.8 |
| 18 | Drew Eubanks | UTAH | 5.4 | 3.9 | 1.0 |
| 19 | Kyle Filipowski | UTAH | 5.4 | 3.9 | 1.5 |
| 20 | Josh Richardson | MIA | 5.3 | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 21 | Patty Mills | UTAH | 5.3 | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| 22 | Josh Christopher | MIA | 4.8 | 1.7 | 1.9 |
| 23 | Cody Williams | UTAH | 4.7 | 2.4 | 1.2 |
| 24 | Micah Potter | UTAH | 4.2 | 2.9 | 1.1 |
| 25 | Keshad Johnson | MIA | 4.1 | 2.4 | 0.8 |
| 26 | Pelle Larsson | MIA | 3.8 | 1.7 | 1.2 |
| 27 | Kevin Love | MIA | 3.6 | 2.3 | 1.0 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.