NBA games

DET @ BKN

NBA Barclays Center ·Final
113–98
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
DET27323222113
BKN2524212898

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (BKN) / 10 (DET) games this season
DET away
home BKN
74% 26%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Malik Beasley S 33 23 2 5
Simone Fontecchio 24 17 5 2
Marcus Sasser 22 15 1 3
Cade Cunningham S 23 13 5 5
Tim Hardaway Jr. S 23 10 3 1
Tobias Harris S 26 9 3 5
Jalen Duren S 22 8 9 3
Ronald Holland II 28 8 5 3
Isaiah Stewart 20 6 4 2
Wendell Moore Jr. 7 2 0 1
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Noah Clowney S 37 29 6 3
Nic Claxton S 30 14 6 3
Tosan Evbuomwan 29 13 7 1
Tyrese Martin S 33 12 10 4
Ziaire Williams S 28 11 5 3
Keon Johnson S 28 10 1 3
Jalen Wilson 32 7 2 2
Reece Beekman 24 2 1 5

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Malik Beasley · 3PT (3 pts) · 11:33 Q1
"Malik Beasley makes 25-foot three point jumper (Tobias Harris assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Cade Cunningham DET
15%
2 Nic Claxton BKN
10%
3 Jalen Duren DET
10%
4 Malik Beasley DET
9%
5 D'Angelo Russell BKN
8%
6 Cameron Johnson BKN
7%
7 Noah Clowney BKN
7%
8 Tobias Harris DET
7%
9 Tyrese Martin BKN
7%
10 Keon Johnson BKN
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
22%
Dunk
3%
Free Throw
7%
Jumper
44%
Layup
24%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Cade Cunningham DET 25.6 5.2 9.6
2 Cameron Johnson BKN 22.5 4.3 3.8
3 Malik Beasley DET 14.9 3.2 2.2
4 Keon Johnson BKN 13.7 4.6 2.7
5 D'Angelo Russell BKN 13.4 3.2 5.5
6 Jalen Duren DET 12.0 9.9 2.3
7 Tobias Harris DET 11.9 5.6 2.2
8 Tim Hardaway Jr. DET 11.4 2.1 1.8
9 Noah Clowney BKN 10.8 4.1 1.4
10 Nic Claxton BKN 10.8 7.3 1.6
11 Jalen Wilson BKN 10.8 3.2 1.8
12 Tyrese Martin BKN 8.6 3.9 1.8
13 Ziaire Williams BKN 8.3 4.0 1.8
14 Trendon Watford BKN 6.9 2.2 1.1
15 Day'Ron Sharpe BKN 6.8 6.5 1.6
16 Simone Fontecchio DET 6.5 2.4 1.2
17 Ronald Holland II DET 5.8 2.3 0.8
18 Isaiah Stewart DET 5.6 4.5 1.3
19 Marcus Sasser DET 5.4 1.5 2.4
20 Paul Reed DET 4.8 2.5 1.3
21 Wendell Moore Jr. DET 4.4 3.0 1.5
22 Daniss Jenkins DET 3.9 1.7 1.1
23 Tosan Evbuomwan BKN 3.8 2.2 0.6
24 Reece Beekman BKN 3.0 1.1 0.7

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.