NBA games

ATL @ UTAH

NBA Delta Center ·Final
124–121
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
ATL36292831124
UTAH32302732121

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (UTAH) / 10 (ATL) games this season
ATL away
home UTAH
48% 52%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Trae Young S 37 24 2 20
Clint Capela S 25 18 6 0
De'Andre Hunter 27 17 4 1
Dyson Daniels S 35 16 6 7
Zaccharie Risacher S 24 14 6 0
Vit Krejci S 22 13 4 0
Bogdan Bogdanovic 28 11 1 3
Garrison Mathews 19 9 6 1
Onyeka Okongwu 23 2 9 3
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Lauri Markkanen S 31 35 2 1
Collin Sexton S 31 24 4 3
Walker Kessler S 30 21 10 0
Patty Mills 18 13 1 2
Johnny Juzang S 25 11 4 4
Drew Eubanks 18 4 8 2
Cody Williams 29 4 3 3
Micah Potter 15 3 1 0
Kyle Filipowski 17 3 8 1
Isaiah Collier S 26 3 6 9

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Zaccharie Risacher · Jumper (2 pts) · 11:39 Q1
"Zaccharie Risacher makes 21-foot two point shot (Dyson Daniels assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Walker Kessler UTAH
10%
2 Clint Capela ATL
9%
3 Collin Sexton UTAH
9%
4 Trae Young ATL
9%
5 Lauri Markkanen UTAH
9%
6 Dyson Daniels ATL
9%
7 Isaiah Collier UTAH
8%
8 Keyonte George UTAH
8%
9 Zaccharie Risacher ATL
8%
10 Micah Potter UTAH
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
2%
Dunk
16%
Free Throw
10%
Jumper
32%
Layup
40%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Trae Young ATL 28.6 3.1 12.9
2 Collin Sexton UTAH 23.3 3.9 6.6
3 Lauri Markkanen UTAH 20.9 6.2 2.1
4 De'Andre Hunter ATL 20.2 4.3 2.4
5 Keyonte George UTAH 18.6 4.3 6.0
6 Dyson Daniels ATL 13.5 5.1 4.4
7 Bogdan Bogdanovic ATL 11.9 3.1 2.6
8 Onyeka Okongwu ATL 11.7 7.0 1.3
9 Walker Kessler UTAH 10.9 11.2 2.1
10 Zaccharie Risacher ATL 10.8 3.4 1.7
11 Garrison Mathews ATL 8.9 2.8 1.7
12 Svi Mykhailiuk UTAH 8.6 2.4 2.0
13 Clint Capela ATL 8.4 7.7 1.4
14 Johnny Juzang UTAH 8.0 3.4 1.2
15 Vit Krejci ATL 6.4 2.7 2.7
16 Isaiah Collier UTAH 5.7 3.3 4.3
17 Kyle Filipowski UTAH 5.5 3.5 1.6
18 Drew Eubanks UTAH 5.4 3.8 1.0
19 Patty Mills UTAH 4.8 1.6 1.5
20 Micah Potter UTAH 4.6 3.2 1.1
21 David Roddy ATL 3.9 1.5 0.8
22 Kobe Bufkin ATL 3.9 1.5 1.3
23 Cody Williams UTAH 3.6 1.8 0.9
24 Dominick Barlow ATL 2.5 1.2 0.6

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.