LAC @ MIN
NBA
Target Center
·Final
106–108
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAC | 27 | 26 | 23 | 30 | 106 |
| MIN | 16 | 30 | 31 | 31 | 108 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (MIN) / 10 (LAC) games this season
LAC
away
home
MIN
47%
53%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norman Powell S | 38 | 25 | 6 | 1 |
| James Harden S | 37 | 22 | 8 | 8 |
| Ivica Zubac S | 35 | 17 | 16 | 2 |
| Derrick Jones Jr. | 25 | 10 | 2 | 1 |
| Amir Coffey | 20 | 9 | 4 | 1 |
| Kawhi Leonard S | 21 | 8 | 2 | 2 |
| Kevin Porter Jr. | 19 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| Terance Mann | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| Nicolas Batum | 13 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| Kris Dunn S | 21 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Rudy Gobert ·
Free Throw (1 pts) · 10:33 Q1
"Rudy Gobert makes free throw 1 of 2"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Anthony Edwards
MIN
15%
2
Norman Powell
LAC
13%
3
Ivica Zubac
LAC
13%
4
Julius Randle
MIN
12%
5
James Harden
LAC
11%
6
Rudy Gobert
MIN
11%
7
Jaden McDaniels
MIN
8%
8
Kris Dunn
LAC
8%
9
Mike Conley
MIN
7%
10
Nicolas Batum
LAC
0%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
21%
Dunk
3%
Free Throw
18%
Jumper
24%
Layup
34%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anthony Edwards | MIN | 24.3 | 5.8 | 4.4 |
| 2 | Norman Powell | LAC | 22.3 | 4.3 | 3.0 |
| 3 | James Harden | LAC | 21.8 | 4.4 | 8.0 |
| 4 | Julius Randle | MIN | 20.7 | 7.1 | 6.2 |
| 5 | Ivica Zubac | LAC | 16.4 | 12.1 | 3.3 |
| 6 | Donte DiVincenzo | MIN | 13.6 | 4.1 | 3.4 |
| 7 | Kevin Porter Jr. | LAC | 12.5 | 3.8 | 4.2 |
| 8 | Naz Reid | MIN | 12.4 | 4.3 | 2.1 |
| 9 | Amir Coffey | LAC | 11.5 | 3.1 | 1.4 |
| 10 | Jaden McDaniels | MIN | 10.4 | 6.2 | 1.6 |
| 11 | Rudy Gobert | MIN | 10.2 | 8.4 | 1.1 |
| 12 | Derrick Jones Jr. | LAC | 9.4 | 3.5 | 1.3 |
| 13 | Kris Dunn | LAC | 9.0 | 3.1 | 3.2 |
| 14 | Nickeil Alexander-Walker | MIN | 8.5 | 3.0 | 2.2 |
| 15 | Terance Mann | LAC | 7.7 | 2.4 | 1.8 |
| 16 | Bones Hyland | LAC | 7.4 | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 17 | Mike Conley | MIN | 7.3 | 2.3 | 3.8 |
| 18 | Jaylen Clark | MIN | 5.6 | 2.4 | 0.9 |
| 19 | Nicolas Batum | LAC | 4.9 | 2.9 | 1.5 |
| 20 | Jordan Miller | LAC | 4.7 | 2.1 | 1.4 |
| 21 | Kobe Brown | LAC | 3.6 | 2.3 | 0.7 |
| 22 | Josh Minott | MIN | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| 23 | Luka Garza | MIN | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0.4 |
| 24 | Joe Ingles | MIN | 2.9 | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 25 | Leonard Miller | MIN | 2.9 | 2.4 | 0.4 |
| 26 | Mo Bamba | LAC | 2.7 | 3.0 | 0.5 |
| 27 | Terrence Shannon Jr. | MIN | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.