PHX @ IND
NBA
Gainbridge Fieldhouse
·Final
108–126
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHX | 29 | 27 | 28 | 24 | 108 |
| IND | 30 | 26 | 40 | 30 | 126 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (IND) / 10 (PHX) games this season
PHX
away
home
IND
20%
80%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant S | 38 | 25 | 7 | 7 |
| Devin Booker S | 36 | 20 | 8 | 9 |
| Ryan Dunn S | 30 | 13 | 4 | 1 |
| Grayson Allen | 31 | 13 | 4 | 6 |
| Monte Morris | 22 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| Bradley Beal S | 33 | 8 | 3 | 3 |
| Josh Okogie | 18 | 6 | 3 | 3 |
| Bol Bol | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| Mason Plumlee S | 20 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
| Damion Lee | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Bennedict Mathurin ·
Layup (2 pts) · 11:04 Q1
"Bennedict Mathurin makes two point shot (Tyrese Haliburton assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Kevin Durant
PHX
11%
2
Myles Turner
IND
11%
3
Bennedict Mathurin
IND
10%
4
Bradley Beal
PHX
10%
5
Devin Booker
PHX
10%
6
Pascal Siakam
IND
10%
7
Tyrese Haliburton
IND
9%
8
Andrew Nembhard
IND
8%
9
Jusuf Nurkic
PHX
8%
10
Mason Plumlee
PHX
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
7%
Dunk
2%
Free Throw
58%
Jumper
24%
Layup
10%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kevin Durant | PHX | 26.8 | 6.5 | 5.1 |
| 2 | Devin Booker | PHX | 25.6 | 4.0 | 6.4 |
| 3 | Pascal Siakam | IND | 20.7 | 8.5 | 3.2 |
| 4 | Tyrese Haliburton | IND | 20.5 | 4.5 | 9.7 |
| 5 | Bradley Beal | PHX | 19.8 | 4.2 | 3.4 |
| 6 | Myles Turner | IND | 15.9 | 7.1 | 1.8 |
| 7 | Bennedict Mathurin | IND | 15.3 | 5.8 | 2.4 |
| 8 | Andrew Nembhard | IND | 14.9 | 4.3 | 5.3 |
| 9 | Obi Toppin | IND | 10.1 | 4.6 | 1.8 |
| 10 | Jusuf Nurkic | PHX | 9.4 | 8.3 | 2.5 |
| 11 | T.J. McConnell | IND | 9.4 | 2.9 | 4.7 |
| 12 | Grayson Allen | PHX | 9.1 | 3.4 | 2.1 |
| 13 | Aaron Nesmith | IND | 8.1 | 3.2 | 1.2 |
| 14 | Jarace Walker | IND | 8.0 | 2.7 | 1.2 |
| 15 | Ben Sheppard | IND | 6.2 | 3.1 | 1.2 |
| 16 | Ryan Dunn | PHX | 6.1 | 3.7 | 1.0 |
| 17 | Monte Morris | PHX | 5.3 | 1.9 | 1.6 |
| 18 | Josh Okogie | PHX | 5.1 | 3.0 | 0.7 |
| 19 | Mason Plumlee | PHX | 4.7 | 6.2 | 1.5 |
| 20 | Thomas Bryant | IND | 4.7 | 2.8 | 0.7 |
| 21 | Johnny Furphy | IND | 3.9 | 2.0 | 0.7 |
| 22 | TyTy Washington Jr. | PHX | 3.8 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| 23 | Bol Bol | PHX | 3.1 | 2.0 | 0.4 |
| 24 | Damion Lee | PHX | 2.6 | 1.1 | 0.7 |
| 25 | James Johnson | IND | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.4 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.