NBA games

PHI @ BKN

NBA Barclays Center ·Final
123–94
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
PHI29352732123
BKN1928192894

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (BKN) / 10 (PHI) games this season
PHI away
home BKN
62% 38%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Joel Embiid S 29 28 12 6
Tyrese Maxey S 32 18 2 7
Paul George S 29 17 4 6
Caleb Martin S 25 17 4 3
Justin Edwards 23 11 5 1
Reggie Jackson 22 8 2 1
Andre Drummond 8 6 4 0
Adem Bona 7 6 3 1
Kyle Lowry 24 5 4 4
Ricky Council IV 9 4 4 2
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Ziaire Williams S 22 19 3 2
Tyrese Martin 29 16 5 3
Keon Johnson S 36 15 8 8
Jalen Wilson S 33 11 4 0
Nic Claxton S 23 10 5 0
Reece Beekman 18 7 1 0
D'Angelo Russell S 14 5 1 4
Day'Ron Sharpe 25 5 5 2
Tosan Evbuomwan 21 3 1 1
Noah Clowney 19 3 6 2

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
D'Angelo Russell · 3PT (3 pts) · 11:53 Q1
"D'Angelo Russell makes 27-foot three pointer"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Nic Claxton BKN
11%
2 Paul George PHI
11%
3 Tyrese Maxey PHI
10%
4 D'Angelo Russell BKN
10%
5 Joel Embiid PHI
10%
6 Ben Simmons BKN
9%
7 Jalen Wilson BKN
8%
8 Kyle Lowry PHI
8%
9 Keon Johnson BKN
7%
10 Caleb Martin PHI
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
2%
Dunk
25%
Free Throw
14%
Jumper
15%
Layup
44%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Joel Embiid PHI 26.4 8.0 4.2
2 Tyrese Maxey PHI 25.9 3.9 6.3
3 Paul George PHI 18.1 5.6 4.1
4 D'Angelo Russell BKN 13.8 3.5 5.8
5 Keon Johnson BKN 12.3 4.2 1.8
6 Noah Clowney BKN 11.4 3.8 1.4
7 Jalen Wilson BKN 11.2 3.0 2.1
8 Nic Claxton BKN 10.9 7.4 1.6
9 Guerschon Yabusele PHI 9.9 3.8 1.6
10 Caleb Martin PHI 9.1 3.5 1.7
11 Ben Simmons BKN 8.5 4.5 7.1
12 Ziaire Williams BKN 7.9 4.1 1.5
13 Ricky Council IV PHI 7.2 2.8 0.9
14 Tyrese Martin BKN 7.2 3.7 1.9
15 Day'Ron Sharpe BKN 6.9 6.3 1.3
16 Trendon Watford BKN 6.9 2.3 1.2
17 Andre Drummond PHI 5.5 6.7 1.0
18 Eric Gordon PHI 5.1 1.6 1.1
19 Justin Edwards PHI 3.9 1.8 0.7
20 Reggie Jackson PHI 3.9 1.8 1.4
21 Kyle Lowry PHI 3.9 1.5 1.7
22 Adem Bona PHI 3.0 2.9 0.5
23 Tosan Evbuomwan BKN 2.9 1.8 0.6
24 Reece Beekman BKN 2.3 1.0 0.9

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.