WSH @ NO
NBA
Smoothie King Center
·Final
120–132
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | 37 | 31 | 29 | 23 | 120 |
| NO | 29 | 33 | 35 | 35 | 132 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (NO) / 10 (WSH) games this season
WSH
away
home
NO
55%
45%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Poole S | 31 | 26 | 4 | 7 |
| Alex Sarr S | 27 | 19 | 7 | 5 |
| Malcolm Brogdon | 25 | 16 | 3 | 3 |
| Kyle Kuzma S | 28 | 14 | 7 | 1 |
| Justin Champagnie S | 30 | 12 | 7 | 1 |
| Jonas Valanciunas | 20 | 9 | 10 | 2 |
| Bub Carrington S | 36 | 8 | 3 | 6 |
| Corey Kispert | 21 | 8 | 2 | 1 |
| Kyshawn George | 17 | 5 | 5 | 1 |
| Patrick Baldwin Jr. | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
CJ McCollum ·
Layup (2 pts) · 11:36 Q1
"CJ McCollum makes driving layup (Trey Murphy III assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
CJ McCollum
NO
14%
2
Dejounte Murray
NO
11%
3
Yves Missi
NO
11%
4
Trey Murphy III
NO
11%
5
Jordan Poole
WSH
10%
6
Herbert Jones
NO
10%
7
Alex Sarr
WSH
9%
8
Jose Alvarado
NO
8%
9
Bub Carrington
WSH
7%
10
Justin Champagnie
WSH
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
20%
Dunk
6%
Free Throw
19%
Jumper
36%
Layup
19%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jordan Poole | WSH | 24.3 | 4.0 | 5.8 |
| 2 | Trey Murphy III | NO | 24.1 | 4.8 | 3.8 |
| 3 | CJ McCollum | NO | 24.0 | 4.5 | 5.4 |
| 4 | Dejounte Murray | NO | 19.7 | 7.1 | 9.9 |
| 5 | Malcolm Brogdon | WSH | 18.1 | 4.8 | 5.1 |
| 6 | Alex Sarr | WSH | 14.8 | 6.8 | 2.7 |
| 7 | Kyle Kuzma | WSH | 14.6 | 5.3 | 2.4 |
| 8 | Justin Champagnie | WSH | 13.1 | 7.7 | 1.5 |
| 9 | Herbert Jones | NO | 13.1 | 4.7 | 4.4 |
| 10 | Jose Alvarado | NO | 12.9 | 3.1 | 5.0 |
| 11 | Jonas Valanciunas | WSH | 11.7 | 8.4 | 2.9 |
| 12 | Yves Missi | NO | 11.7 | 10.1 | 1.9 |
| 13 | Corey Kispert | WSH | 11.5 | 3.4 | 1.8 |
| 14 | Bub Carrington | WSH | 10.6 | 4.7 | 3.6 |
| 15 | Brandon Boston | NO | 10.5 | 3.1 | 1.6 |
| 16 | Jordan Hawkins | NO | 8.0 | 2.7 | 1.2 |
| 17 | Kyshawn George | WSH | 7.1 | 3.8 | 1.6 |
| 18 | Jared Butler | WSH | 6.8 | 1.7 | 2.2 |
| 19 | Javonte Green | NO | 5.5 | 2.6 | 1.0 |
| 20 | Daniel Theis | NO | 4.6 | 3.7 | 1.5 |
| 21 | Antonio Reeves | NO | 4.4 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| 22 | Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | NO | 4.3 | 3.1 | 1.0 |
| 23 | Johnny Davis | WSH | 4.1 | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| 24 | Anthony Gill | WSH | 3.4 | 1.8 | 0.7 |
| 25 | Richaun Holmes | WSH | 2.6 | 2.2 | 0.3 |
| 26 | Patrick Baldwin Jr. | WSH | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.4 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.