CLE @ GS
NBA
Chase Center
·Final
113–95
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLE | 26 | 20 | 37 | 30 | 113 |
| GS | 27 | 11 | 27 | 30 | 95 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (GS) / 10 (CLE) games this season
CLE
away
home
GS
63%
37%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Garland S | 29 | 25 | 3 | 8 |
| Donovan Mitchell S | 27 | 23 | 3 | 4 |
| Jarrett Allen S | 25 | 12 | 9 | 1 |
| Dean Wade S | 25 | 10 | 13 | 0 |
| Ty Jerome | 20 | 10 | 2 | 4 |
| Caris LeVert | 21 | 9 | 1 | 1 |
| Evan Mobley S | 25 | 7 | 7 | 1 |
| Sam Merrill | 14 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| Georges Niang | 20 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| Max Strus | 19 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Andrew Wiggins ·
Dunk (2 pts) · 11:02 Q1
"Andrew Wiggins makes 3-foot dunk (Draymond Green assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
Stephen Curry
GS
17%
2
Andrew Wiggins
GS
10%
3
Jarrett Allen
CLE
10%
4
Evan Mobley
CLE
9%
5
Trayce Jackson-Davis
GS
9%
6
Darius Garland
CLE
8%
7
Dennis Schroder
GS
8%
8
Donovan Mitchell
CLE
8%
9
Kyle Anderson
GS
7%
10
Draymond Green
GS
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
24%
Dunk
7%
Free Throw
18%
Jumper
28%
Layup
23%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stephen Curry | GS | 22.3 | 4.2 | 6.5 |
| 2 | Evan Mobley | CLE | 22.0 | 8.2 | 3.9 |
| 3 | Darius Garland | CLE | 21.9 | 3.4 | 6.2 |
| 4 | Donovan Mitchell | CLE | 21.8 | 4.3 | 6.4 |
| 5 | Jonathan Kuminga | GS | 20.8 | 6.1 | 3.1 |
| 6 | Andrew Wiggins | GS | 15.1 | 4.7 | 2.5 |
| 7 | Dennis Schroder | GS | 13.3 | 2.6 | 5.3 |
| 8 | Jarrett Allen | CLE | 12.7 | 8.7 | 2.5 |
| 9 | Caris LeVert | CLE | 12.7 | 3.0 | 3.8 |
| 10 | Draymond Green | GS | 10.9 | 6.5 | 4.8 |
| 11 | Trayce Jackson-Davis | GS | 8.9 | 6.5 | 1.8 |
| 12 | Buddy Hield | GS | 8.9 | 3.2 | 1.2 |
| 13 | Georges Niang | CLE | 8.7 | 4.5 | 1.8 |
| 14 | Sam Merrill | CLE | 7.8 | 2.5 | 1.7 |
| 15 | Ty Jerome | CLE | 6.3 | 2.0 | 2.5 |
| 16 | Dean Wade | CLE | 6.1 | 5.0 | 1.5 |
| 17 | Lindy Waters III | GS | 5.8 | 3.1 | 1.3 |
| 18 | Moses Moody | GS | 5.1 | 1.5 | 0.7 |
| 19 | Max Strus | CLE | 5.0 | 2.7 | 1.4 |
| 20 | Kyle Anderson | GS | 4.9 | 2.4 | 1.5 |
| 21 | Kevon Looney | GS | 4.1 | 4.8 | 1.4 |
| 22 | JT Thor | CLE | 3.3 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 23 | Craig Porter Jr. | CLE | 2.8 | 0.9 | 1.3 |
| 24 | Jaylon Tyson | CLE | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| 25 | Quinten Post | GS | 2.4 | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 26 | Tristan Thompson | CLE | 2.0 | 2.5 | 0.4 |
| 27 | Gui Santos | GS | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| 28 | Pat Spencer | GS | 1.5 | 0.8 | 1.0 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.