LAC @ NO
NBA
Smoothie King Center
·Final
116–113
Final
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAC | 31 | 25 | 31 | 29 | 116 |
| NO | 37 | 25 | 28 | 23 | 113 |
Statlab take
baseline_gbm
Last 10 (NO) / 10 (LAC) games this season
LAC
away
home
NO
73%
27%
GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.
Box score
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norman Powell S | 40 | 35 | 3 | 2 |
| James Harden S | 36 | 27 | 2 | 4 |
| Ivica Zubac S | 36 | 20 | 16 | 4 |
| Derrick Jones Jr. S | 32 | 11 | 3 | 2 |
| Kris Dunn S | 32 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
| Amir Coffey | 21 | 6 | 3 | 0 |
| Kevin Porter Jr. | 16 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
| Nicolas Batum | 20 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
| Mo Bamba | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
First basket
scorer · ROC 0.80Actual
Dejounte Murray ·
Jumper (2 pts) · 11:23 Q1
"Dejounte Murray makes 13-foot pullup jump shot"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1
CJ McCollum
NO
12%
2
Ivica Zubac
LAC
12%
3
Dejounte Murray
NO
11%
4
James Harden
LAC
11%
5
Yves Missi
NO
10%
6
Herbert Jones
NO
8%
7
Trey Murphy III
NO
8%
8
Norman Powell
LAC
7%
9
Jose Alvarado
NO
7%
10
Derrick Jones Jr.
LAC
7%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
19%
Dunk
6%
Free Throw
26%
Jumper
31%
Layup
19%
Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.
Statlab projections
| # | Player | Team | Pred PTS | Pred REB | Pred AST |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Norman Powell | LAC | 24.8 | 4.1 | 3.5 |
| 2 | James Harden | LAC | 24.3 | 4.8 | 8.6 |
| 3 | Trey Murphy III | NO | 21.9 | 4.5 | 3.1 |
| 4 | CJ McCollum | NO | 21.7 | 4.4 | 5.3 |
| 5 | Dejounte Murray | NO | 20.6 | 6.8 | 8.5 |
| 6 | Ivica Zubac | LAC | 16.2 | 12.3 | 2.9 |
| 7 | Kevin Porter Jr. | LAC | 14.0 | 4.5 | 3.6 |
| 8 | Herbert Jones | NO | 13.4 | 4.9 | 4.0 |
| 9 | Jose Alvarado | NO | 12.2 | 2.8 | 4.5 |
| 10 | Amir Coffey | LAC | 11.9 | 3.1 | 1.6 |
| 11 | Brandon Boston | NO | 10.3 | 2.9 | 1.5 |
| 12 | Yves Missi | NO | 10.1 | 9.4 | 1.3 |
| 13 | Kris Dunn | LAC | 9.2 | 3.2 | 2.8 |
| 14 | Derrick Jones Jr. | LAC | 9.0 | 3.5 | 1.5 |
| 15 | Jordan Hawkins | NO | 8.1 | 2.4 | 1.2 |
| 16 | Bones Hyland | LAC | 6.3 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 17 | Jordan Miller | LAC | 5.5 | 2.2 | 1.3 |
| 18 | Nicolas Batum | LAC | 5.2 | 3.1 | 2.0 |
| 19 | Javonte Green | NO | 4.9 | 3.0 | 0.8 |
| 20 | Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | NO | 4.5 | 3.2 | 1.1 |
| 21 | Kobe Brown | LAC | 4.3 | 2.8 | 1.1 |
| 22 | Antonio Reeves | NO | 4.3 | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| 23 | Daniel Theis | NO | 4.2 | 3.3 | 1.4 |
| 24 | Mo Bamba | LAC | 4.0 | 3.3 | 0.7 |
| 25 | Kai Jones | LAC | 1.8 | 1.4 | 0.5 |
GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.