NBA games

PHI @ UTAH

NBA Delta Center ·Final
114–111
Final
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
PHI22352433114
UTAH34182930111

Statlab take

baseline_gbm
Last 10 (UTAH) / 10 (PHI) games this season
PHI away
home UTAH
78% 22%

GBT team-winner trained on ~3 seasons of NBA games (68.8% holdout accuracy). Features: 10-game rolling form / points-for / points-against diff + rest days + back-to-back flags.

Box score

Player MIN PTS REB AST
Joel Embiid S 35 32 5 4
Tyrese Maxey S 41 32 0 6
Paul George S 32 13 3 2
Guerschon Yabusele 22 12 8 2
Kelly Oubre Jr. S 31 9 2 2
Reggie Jackson 15 8 4 1
Caleb Martin S 36 5 6 0
Ricky Council IV 11 3 2 0
Kyle Lowry 19 0 2 5
Player MIN PTS REB AST
Lauri Markkanen S 33 23 4 2
Brice Sensabaugh 25 20 5 2
Collin Sexton S 31 20 6 8
Jordan Clarkson S 30 17 3 4
Walker Kessler S 30 11 11 0
Johnny Juzang 16 6 5 1
Cody Williams S 23 6 5 1
Drew Eubanks 9 6 2 1
Isaiah Collier 19 2 3 4
Micah Potter 15 0 0 3

First basket

scorer · ROC 0.80
Trained on 67736 player-games
Actual
Paul George · 3PT (3 pts) · 11:06 Q1
"Paul George makes 25-foot three point jumper (Kelly Oubre Jr. assists)"
Most likely first scorer (top 10)
1 Joel Embiid PHI
12%
2 Collin Sexton UTAH
11%
3 Paul George PHI
9%
4 Lauri Markkanen UTAH
9%
5 Tyrese Maxey PHI
9%
6 Walker Kessler UTAH
8%
7 Kelly Oubre Jr. PHI
8%
8 Svi Mykhailiuk UTAH
7%
9 Isaiah Collier UTAH
7%
10 KJ Martin PHI
6%
Method (given top scorer)
3PT
13%
Dunk
6%
Free Throw
12%
Jumper
36%
Layup
34%

Per-player binary classifier — features: starter status, recent PPG/FGA/3PM, starter-rate, home/away. Probabilities normalized so the field sums to 100%.

Statlab projections

Trained on 68258 player-games; PTS MAE 4.7 (naive 6.8)
# Player Team Pred PTS Pred REB Pred AST
1 Tyrese Maxey PHI 26.6 4.5 6.8
2 Joel Embiid PHI 24.2 7.1 4.6
3 Paul George PHI 19.7 5.8 5.7
4 Collin Sexton UTAH 19.5 3.2 5.3
5 Jordan Clarkson UTAH 19.1 3.6 4.7
6 Lauri Markkanen UTAH 18.6 6.1 2.2
7 Kelly Oubre Jr. PHI 13.2 6.6 2.2
8 Walker Kessler UTAH 10.6 10.8 1.8
9 Guerschon Yabusele PHI 10.1 4.2 2.1
10 KJ Martin PHI 9.5 3.7 1.1
11 Svi Mykhailiuk UTAH 8.6 2.3 1.7
12 Caleb Martin PHI 8.2 3.0 1.9
13 Johnny Juzang UTAH 7.7 2.4 1.2
14 Ricky Council IV PHI 7.2 3.0 0.9
15 Brice Sensabaugh UTAH 7.0 2.5 2.3
16 Kyle Filipowski UTAH 6.5 4.1 1.8
17 Drew Eubanks UTAH 5.1 3.5 0.9
18 Isaiah Collier UTAH 4.9 2.4 3.5
19 Reggie Jackson PHI 4.5 1.6 1.7
20 Micah Potter UTAH 4.4 4.4 0.9
21 Patty Mills UTAH 4.3 1.4 1.4
22 Cody Williams UTAH 4.1 1.9 1.1
23 Kyle Lowry PHI 3.8 1.4 1.7
24 Adem Bona PHI 2.1 2.1 0.3

GBT MultiOutput regressor per player — 9 targets (PTS/REB/AST/STL/BLK/TO/MIN/FG/3PT). Features: rolling form last 10 games + opponent allowed averages + rest days. Sorted by predicted PTS.